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2016 Postmortem

CobaltBlue

(1,122 posts)

7. imagine2015—Unlikely

Reply to imagine2015 (Original post)

Fri Jun 10, 2016, 03:46 AM

Jun 2016

The 2012 presidential election was Obama +4. (It was exactly +3.86.)

Presidential election cycles shift. Up or down for the incumbent White House party.

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Highlight:

General Election NATIONAL POLL JUNE 9: Clinton 42% Trump 38% Clinton +4 [View all] imagine2015 Jun 2016 OP

Polls are worthless at this point. Hillary and Trump haven't even squared off in their first debate. Trust Buster Jun 2016 #1

Do let us know tabasco Jun 2016 #2

At least one debate would be nice. Polls had Romney beating Obama ONE WEEK before the Trust Buster Jun 2016 #3

That might have been the only lead Romney ever had tabasco Jun 2016 #4

Wait, I thought the whole rationale for BS was based on polls like these robbedvoter Jun 2016 #8

Polls only matter when they are negative against Hillary qdouble Jun 2016 #5

20 point unaccounted for. Matt_R Jun 2016 #6

imagine2015—Unlikely CobaltBlue Jun 2016 #7