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Response to brooklynite (Reply #5)

Thu Jun 2, 2016, 01:54 PM

16. He's very unlikely to get NJ, whether he does more campaigning there or not.

It's a closed primary, much of it is practically a suburb of New York City which he lost badly (though NJ doesn't have the ridiculous requirement of having had to declare your party affiliation 6 months ahead of time).

To some extent, it might be a zero sum game... any delegates he might pick up by campaigning more in NJ could be offset by delegate he might lose by campaigning less in CA.

But beyond the delegate count, there's the PR of winning a state. Right now, I think he wants to try as hard as he can to win CA, and everything else is secondary. He could spend a bunch of time in NJ, maybe pick up some delegates, but would still probably lose the state... and that time away from CA would make it harder to win that one. Much better win one of the two than neither of them. So I think it's all about trying to get CA into the win column. He's got the better shot there, and it's got more delegates, besides.

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imagine2015 Jun 2016 OP
firebrand80 Jun 2016 #1
brooklynite Jun 2016 #2
SheenaR Jun 2016 #4
brooklynite Jun 2016 #5
SheenaR Jun 2016 #8
LineLineLineLineNew Reply He's very unlikely to get NJ, whether he does more campaigning there or not.
thesquanderer Jun 2016 #16
frylock Jun 2016 #21
thesquanderer Jun 2016 #24
NWCorona Jun 2016 #15
SheenaR Jun 2016 #3
imagine2015 Jun 2016 #6
SheenaR Jun 2016 #9
TwilightZone Jun 2016 #7
SheenaR Jun 2016 #12
frylock Jun 2016 #22
MisterP Jun 2016 #10
bettyellen Jun 2016 #17
SheenaR Jun 2016 #18
bettyellen Jun 2016 #19
AzDar Jun 2016 #11
Lil Missy Jun 2016 #13
LineReply .
Rex Jun 2016 #14
pdsimdars Jun 2016 #20
MineralMan Jun 2016 #23
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