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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » My Critique of Nate Silve... » Reply #18

Response to Godhumor (Reply #16)

Wed May 18, 2016, 04:00 PM

18. They are not prelimary

I am sure of that.

We'll just have to disagree on that point.

They are "adjusted" to automatically fit the vote count. That hides any discrepancy that may have been present before the "adjustment". Rigging of the vote could steal 20% of the vote, but the "adjusted" exit polls done by the networks shortly after the final vote is tallied will NEVER show us that because they will ALWAYS exactly fit the official count. That is what they do.

Exit polls do not change by 10 or 20% in a few seconds. It is the artificial "adjustment" by the networks that make it look like that.

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Time for change May 2016 OP
JackRiddler May 2016 #1
Fearful May 2016 #2
reformist2 May 2016 #14
Time for change May 2016 #15
YouDig May 2016 #3
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YouDig May 2016 #5
Time for change May 2016 #7
reddread May 2016 #13
2cannan May 2016 #6
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zipplewrath May 2016 #17
Time for change May 2016 #19
Godhumor May 2016 #9
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Godhumor May 2016 #11
Time for change May 2016 #12
Godhumor May 2016 #16
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Time for change May 2016 #18
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