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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » My Critique of Nate Silve... » Reply #12

Response to Godhumor (Reply #11)

Wed May 18, 2016, 01:59 PM

12. I am not pointing to first wave exit polls

All of my posts that point to exit polls are the FINAL exit polls, the ones posted very shortly before poll closing, prior to the "adjustment" to fit the official count done by our news media.

It is not that they are not "set up" to predict the official vote count -- in the absence of fraud. They are perfectly capable of doing just that as they are, despite what we've been told by our national news media, including Nate Silver. Nate Silver's reasons for ignoring them as a predictive measure are nonsense, as I try to make clear in my OP.

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Arrow 19 replies Author Time Post
Time for change May 2016 OP
JackRiddler May 2016 #1
Fearful May 2016 #2
reformist2 May 2016 #14
Time for change May 2016 #15
YouDig May 2016 #3
Time for change May 2016 #4
YouDig May 2016 #5
Time for change May 2016 #7
reddread May 2016 #13
2cannan May 2016 #6
Time for change May 2016 #8
zipplewrath May 2016 #17
Time for change May 2016 #19
Godhumor May 2016 #9
Time for change May 2016 #10
Godhumor May 2016 #11
LineLineLineLineNew Reply I am not pointing to first wave exit polls
Time for change May 2016 #12
Godhumor May 2016 #16
Time for change May 2016 #18
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