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2016 Postmortem

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

13. Nate Silver Update: 12:15 AM ET on Oct. 31

Reply to courseofhistory (Original post)

Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:20 AM

Oct 2012

Chance of Winning

Obama = 77.4%

Romney = 22.6%

----

Electoral Vote

Obama = 299.0

Romney = 239.0

----

Popular Vote

Obama = 50.4%

Romney = 48.5%

----

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

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25 replies

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Highlight:

Nate Silver has Obama up [View all] courseofhistory Oct 2012 OP

Yes! nt aaaaaa5a Oct 2012 #1

Wow. Getting almost back to September levels! Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #2

Yippie skippy Thekaspervote Oct 2012 #3

And I think courseofhistory Oct 2012 #4

Great! Now I can relax. mary195149 Oct 2012 #5

No relaxing... Aviation Pro Oct 2012 #7

Actually, the way it's described is if your opponent is drowning,.... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #11

...for each hand. n/t agracie Oct 2012 #21

Actually a bag of rocks would be eaiser. Left Coast2020 Oct 2012 #23

...depends on the bag... Spitfire of ATJ Oct 2012 #25

Good stuff Presidentcokedupfratboy Oct 2012 #6

Just watched him tell Charlie Rose tonight that littlemissmartypants Oct 2012 #8

Great. Lex Oct 2012 #9

Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, GallopingGhost Oct 2012 #10

Man I hope my state doesn't mess this up. AllyCat Oct 2012 #22

He recently tweeted that good Ohio polls mzmolly Oct 2012 #12

The Quinnipiac poll should push him to 80% then! Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #14

Unless he factored that mzmolly Oct 2012 #15

Maybe, but the poll's not supposed to be released until 7am Wed Alekei_Firebird Oct 2012 #16

No, I just checked TroyD Oct 2012 #17

Wow! mzmolly Oct 2012 #18

Nate Silver Update: 12:15 AM ET on Oct. 31 TroyD Oct 2012 #13

After Charlie Rose's grilling, this is sweet. SleeplessinSoCal Oct 2012 #19

This will piss off Joe Doucheborough Larkspur Oct 2012 #20

Obama will break 80% tomorrow due to the Quinnipiac poll, I bet Marsala Oct 2012 #24