2016 Postmortem

FBaggins

(27,904 posts)

24. They really weren't.

Sun Oct 21, 2012, 04:24 PM

Oct 2012

Their final number was one of the closest, but they were all over the place prior to that... nor are they a "respected pollster with a proven track record".

We just happen to like what they're saying now.

They showed Romney up by five a week and a half ago. Do you think he was that far up? Do you think the race has shifted 11 points in ten days?

On edit - Here's a comment Nate Silver made re: their 2008 polling:

As we learned during the Presidntial campaign -- when, among other things, they had John McCain winning the youth vote 74-22 -- the IBD/TIPP polling operation has literally no idea what they're doing. I mean, literally none. For example, I don't trust IBD/TIPP to have competently selected anything resembling a random panel, which is harder to do than you'd think.

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Highlight:

IBD/TIPP tracking poll Obama 47.9 Romney 42.2 [View all] jezebel Oct 2012 OP

Accuracy: Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #1

I hope so still_one Oct 2012 #2

It's LV and it looks like a solid poll. speedoo Oct 2012 #3

Outlier Gman Oct 2012 #4

The IBD is a rabid right wing conservative paper. ChairmanAgnostic Oct 2012 #5

I Can't Imagine They Like Publishing These Results DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #12

Might be an outlier if you buy the ridiculous LV screens in other polls. speedoo Oct 2012 #6

13 point difference inthis one and gallup mgcgulfcoast Oct 2012 #7

I think... Charlotte Little Oct 2012 #8

2008 IBD/TIPP On the same day had Obama vs Mcain @ +1 Obama boingboinh Oct 2012 #9

I thought... Charlotte Little Oct 2012 #14

+1 n/t bamacrat Oct 2012 #23

You lied there buddy Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 #16

How do you know they lied? Could just be wrong, "buddy". n/t Dawgs Oct 2012 #21

So you're saying that in addition to being rude... FBaggins Oct 2012 #22

Post debate bounce. Dawson Leery Oct 2012 #10

STILL going to give this poll LenaBaby61 Oct 2012 #11

Obama down only 1 in the south? MadBadger Oct 2012 #13

There wasn't too much in the south circa 2008 pre-election polling Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #17

Why doesn't this thread have 200 recs? Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 #15

So now we're stuck liking IBD and Newsmax! Onlooker Oct 2012 #18

IBD/Tipp was more accurate in 2008 and 2010 then Gallup was. Jennicut Oct 2012 #20

They really weren't. FBaggins Oct 2012 #24

Bump: thread of the Day VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #19

Post removed Post removed Oct 2012 #25

K&R n/t Tx4obama Oct 2012 #26