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Algernon Moncrieff

(5,790 posts)
50. I think we're talking crossed purposes
Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:02 AM
Mar 2016

I agree Hillary will win -- I just think this will probably go until May. (June was probably overly optimistic). There are only 373 delegates in play between now and New York. Then 631 come in in the second half of April.

I'm going to guess a roughly 40% Hillary /60% Bernie split on the 373, followed by a roughly 60% Hillary/40% Bernie split on the 631. So that gets us to May with about 2030 delegates.

That's just my take -- your mileage may vary.

Jerry Brown also took it all the way to the convention in 1992. RandySF Mar 2016 #1
And Mondale did great in the Primaries. Scootaloo Mar 2016 #4
Bernie is welcome to hang in and help defeat the GOP, Hortensis Mar 2016 #104
I suppose you ought to check yourself then. Scootaloo Mar 2016 #114
here is to you, Rosa!! dana_b Mar 2016 #2
In it to win it... Feel the Bern! RobertEarl Mar 2016 #3
I was here at DU in 2008 and I don't think it was as bad Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2016 #7
It's as if they hate us? RobertEarl Mar 2016 #23
Those that thought that a Democratic president would undo the crap that Bush brought us rhett o rick Mar 2016 #33
It wasn't. ezgoingrl Mar 2016 #74
i think that's great griffi94 Mar 2016 #5
Well Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2016 #9
of course she will griffi94 Mar 2016 #13
"...the bern was fixed with rolaids" Umm... don't quit your day job. That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #29
i think ya meant there griffi94 Mar 2016 #34
Thanks for the correction That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #41
eye of the beholder griffi94 Mar 2016 #44
Lol no my skin isn't thin, just trying to help. You need to work on your humor - or tell less jokes That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #48
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #49
piss off? That doesn't sound very friendly. That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #54
wow looks like hillary swept griffi94 Mar 2016 #56
As expected. Which should put you in a good mood. Which is essential for telling good jokes! That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #60
go get a Pearl...or a Lone Star griffi94 Mar 2016 #64
Lol both are horrible, if you ever make it TX have a Shiner. That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #69
Lol! KPN Mar 2016 #61
English is spelled with a capital "E." Fantastic Anarchist Mar 2016 #121
She will never be President. Punkingal Mar 2016 #30
feeling the bern griffi94 Mar 2016 #36
Nooo! don't go the way of "Sore/Loserman" That Guy 888 Mar 2016 #42
I believe if she's smart, if she wants to really be great, she'll stay to the Left. highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #62
Right -- at least until KPN Mar 2016 #68
Depends on how you want to play the game and what rewards you are going for. highprincipleswork Mar 2016 #82
Well, if she wins the nomination KPN Mar 2016 #112
I'm in to the convention marions ghost Mar 2016 #6
Your involvement, your passion, and your hard work will push us all in the right direction. NBachers Mar 2016 #8
Thank you! I mean it. I wish I could hear this message from more of her supporters. jillan Mar 2016 #10
count me in Maru Kitteh Mar 2016 #12
Thank you too. Sincerely. It really does matter to me and I'm sure to some of the others. I'm jillan Mar 2016 #17
We Hillary people believe deeply too. We're in this together to try to do good. nolabear Mar 2016 #27
There is very little sense of "together" from her supporters on this site, however. villager Mar 2016 #57
I am on the fence, but I appreciate the hard work many SBS supporters have done. bettyellen Mar 2016 #39
I also see a good side. So, you can hear it from me too. shadowandblossom Mar 2016 #70
^^this^^ Maru Kitteh Mar 2016 #11
Well, let's all take a deep breath, gear up, and jump back into the battle. NBachers Mar 2016 #18
Indeed, we already have significant votes to affect the platform. joshcryer Mar 2016 #20
Hell yes! Do It! And if Bernie gets nominated, I'm 200% behind him and his team. NBachers Mar 2016 #25
^^^Booyah!! desmiller Mar 2016 #31
Really? How about you and Hillary's other supporters? KPN Mar 2016 #71
Listen- Bill Clinton drove me nuts and made me clench my teeth with rage with some of the awful NBachers Mar 2016 #76
Well, I appreciate the response KPN Mar 2016 #79
Because I believe that Hillary, though deeply flawed, has taken everything the Republicans can throw NBachers Mar 2016 #83
Agreed! deerheadgal Mar 2016 #105
So you obviously think that Bernie doesn't KPN Mar 2016 #111
We both are involved, committed, and active in this. NBachers Mar 2016 #117
If only MuseRider Mar 2016 #102
Not at all... brooklynite Mar 2016 #14
Well Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2016 #16
I'll be at the Convention; maybe we can meet up... brooklynite Mar 2016 #22
I will be too Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2016 #122
I sent my delegates. joshcryer Mar 2016 #15
This probably won't be over until May -- maybe June Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #19
She's over 1500 tonight Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #28
True, but small, not-very-diverse states dominate the next month. Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #35
The math doesn't work Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #37
I think we're talking crossed purposes Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #50
Ok...... Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #55
I'll buy that. Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #63
Please don't taunt people. Beacool Mar 2016 #21
Thank you. MuseRider Mar 2016 #103
You're welcome. Beacool Mar 2016 #109
I agree MuseRider Mar 2016 #110
Well said....... Beacool Mar 2016 #116
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #24
Post removed Post removed Mar 2016 #43
Hillary was one of the most liberal Senators in Congress redstateblues Mar 2016 #66
Really? How so? KPN Mar 2016 #73
And then she became Secretary of State, John Poet Mar 2016 #81
I wonder why I don't read more on this site about her role in what went on in Honduras.nt vintx Mar 2016 #84
Another interesting picture: BeanMusical Mar 2016 #96
If you think it's time for her to think about Trump, maybe it's time to think about the rhett o rick Mar 2016 #45
Check out post #80. They don't give a flying fuck about LibDemAlways Mar 2016 #88
Can we please quit the "true democrat" bullshit? KPN Mar 2016 #72
We have no illusions you won't be Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #26
Are you planning on continuing bashing the Left while working toward the GE win? Good luck. nm rhett o rick Mar 2016 #46
Oh, FFS Stuckinthebush Mar 2016 #51
+1 stonecutter357 Mar 2016 #107
Tonight is a good night for that yuiyoshida Mar 2016 #32
I think there are a lot of shoes left to fall.... Skwmom Mar 2016 #38
A quixotic quest it would be. The race is over. tritsofme Mar 2016 #40
Hell, I'll be here through the general election and beyond Bradical79 Mar 2016 #47
It's not over and don't listen to anyone who says it is mvd Mar 2016 #52
Feeling your pain. Sorry redstateblues Mar 2016 #67
You're not alone in that regard. KPN Mar 2016 #75
blah blah blah!!!!!n/t asuhornets Mar 2016 #53
Sweep today. Hang around, but you'd better be nice. oasis Mar 2016 #58
First the debates will end, then the cameras will stop following Bernie and do on and so on. Trust Buster Mar 2016 #59
Woot! polly7 Mar 2016 #65
Nice post! Thanks. KPN Mar 2016 #77
There's more than just the presidency Rosa Luxemburg Mar 2016 #123
Not sorry JSup Mar 2016 #78
We really don't care. Not after Hillary's 5 State sweep tonight misterhighwasted Mar 2016 #80
Is that you DWS? Yep, the great Democratic Party has LibDemAlways Mar 2016 #85
LOL misterhighwasted Mar 2016 #87
Indeed. Nailzberg Mar 2016 #94
Additionally, we won't speculate on assignation being a possible outcome. Cassiopeia Mar 2016 #86
Not at all. I mean if he stays and pushes his ideas in a positive manner, then I don't mind lunamagica Mar 2016 #89
Except that's incorrect. LisaM Mar 2016 #90
All. The. WAY!! Bernie kicked ASS today... and the best is yet to come! AzDar Mar 2016 #91
I suspect Sanders will drop out before the convention. Garrett78 Mar 2016 #92
Especially with the FEC wanting some answers on Fri the 17th misterhighwasted Mar 2016 #98
I hope you are right Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #100
While I agree that it's virtually impossible for him to win at this point... Garrett78 Mar 2016 #108
Devastated, I tells ya, devastated. Hekate Mar 2016 #93
I expect him to stay in FreedomRain Mar 2016 #95
Kick and R BeanMusical Mar 2016 #97
sorry to hear that. Demsrule86 Mar 2016 #99
Nope farleftlib Mar 2016 #101
Please do keep the conversation going, by all means! Orrex Mar 2016 #106
And they will change. Betty Karlson Mar 2016 #113
Absolutely. They're fighting for corporations. We're fighting for the people. senz Mar 2016 #115
Good for Bernie. After all, 'something might happen' as Hillary once said about Obama. PonyUp Mar 2016 #118
Hahaha we are a thorn in their side just like Bernie is in Hillary's! nt thereismore Mar 2016 #119
Bernie will tone down the accusations of corruption because he wants a place at the convention. bettyellen Mar 2016 #120
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