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DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Retired » Retired Forums » 2016 Postmortem (Forum) » Hillary supporters: you w... » Reply #50

Response to Stuckinthebush (Reply #37)

Wed Mar 16, 2016, 01:02 AM

50. I think we're talking crossed purposes

I agree Hillary will win -- I just think this will probably go until May. (June was probably overly optimistic). There are only 373 delegates in play between now and New York. Then 631 come in in the second half of April.

I'm going to guess a roughly 40% Hillary /60% Bernie split on the 373, followed by a roughly 60% Hillary/40% Bernie split on the 631. So that gets us to May with about 2030 delegates.

That's just my take -- your mileage may vary.

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