2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver: Romney bounce not receding and making gains in swing states [View all]Cosmocat
(14,537 posts)First, you are right about drilling down and GOTV.
But, I was very certain after the debate that it would spike and recede.
The post debate rush has pretty much cleared and if anything Romney having a virtual tie, at least seems to have set.
I fear that what we saw was that up until their debate, people just were not tuned in, and the debate itself and framing from the media pushed a lot of people who were not enthused by Romney, but lean to the right to him.
I don't think they are going back.
We went in a week from having BO at about a 52 to 47 national win and carrying the senate to some pickups and closing the gap in the House pretty good to HOPING for BO to get a national win and having had such a big electoral margin to cross the finish line in the 280 range.
Romney has been SO bad, and the relentless stream of utter bullshit these two are putting forward it so obvious. If people are on board with it this late in the game, they are on board with it.