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2016 Postmortem

woolldog

(8,791 posts)

10. that's random sampling for you

Reply to TexasCPA (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 04:32 PM

Oct 2012

party ID shifts with enthusiasm.

There's some evidence in the tracking polls that Obama has stemmed to bleeding and recovered. But the media is gonna be all over this poll, esp if other polls confirm this. Obama can turn it around. But damn.

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Highlight:

Pew a 9pt swing to Romney up 49-45 [View all] Cattledog Oct 2012 OP

... Comrade_McKenzie Oct 2012 #1

Peeeeee-eeew, something reeks... Blue Owl Oct 2012 #2

Is it fishy when they've traditionally had Obama leading? vi5 Oct 2012 #3

Is Pew a republican pollster? Cause if you build it it will come. When I want applegrove Oct 2012 #39

Thank you for your service...... FrenchieCat Oct 2012 #4

Ha, that's the least of it - look at this --> Care Acutely Oct 2012 #25

Thank you, sincerely, for this information. Most helpful! djean111 Oct 2012 #30

It is just one poll. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #5

This will rebound like all the others budkin Oct 2012 #6

This poll is through October 7. The job numbers haven't taken affect yet. Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #7

They talked to a lot of Republicans TexasCPA Oct 2012 #8

that's random sampling for you woolldog Oct 2012 #10

Independents should NEVER get a third of the poll, but they do and it skews it. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #31

wow maybe Romney really IS reaganesque! /s CitizenPatriot Oct 2012 #9

Worth noting it's a smaller sample than the Gallop where Obama lead +5 Lone_Star_Dem Oct 2012 #11

Preventing the Reagan effect andym Oct 2012 #12

I guess Obama woolldog Oct 2012 #13

Except that the Carter-Reagan debate was a week before the election & WI_DEM Oct 2012 #14

Women voters WallaceRitchie Oct 2012 #15

I'm having trouble with that one as well fugop Oct 2012 #16

might have something to do woolldog Oct 2012 #17

Doubt it WallaceRitchie Oct 2012 #19

As a women, that would embarrass me fugop Oct 2012 #20

I'm nonplussed as well. woolldog Oct 2012 #24

again. they OVER sampled "independents." they do NOT make up 1/3 of the voters... progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #32

Obama better be boning up like no one has ever prepared for a debate in history. VirginiaTarheel Oct 2012 #18

And uppity. fugop Oct 2012 #21

There is NO "OUCH" here. This is BULLSHIT. All other polls have Obama AHEAD. Gallup up 5 today. RBInMaine Oct 2012 #22

The people criticizing the polls are no better than the conservative poll truthers tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #23

This poll DOES NOT SHOW Obama's jops report bounce nor Mitt's REGRESSION these last two days. RBInMaine Oct 2012 #26

Agenda is showing like a floor length slip under a miniskirt.....! FrenchieCat Oct 2012 #29

No poll is perfect of course, but PEW is pretty reliable tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #36

The poll's timing makes the results invalid as of this time...... FrenchieCat Oct 2012 #37

Even so, Romney gaining 9 points due to one single event is a huge deal. tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #38

Can you understand that they have BAD methodology??? progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #33

Poster understands.....but poster doesn't care.... FrenchieCat Oct 2012 #34

Not everyone identifies as strongly with their party as we do, those things can be quite volatile tarheelsunc Oct 2012 #35

wrong elleng Oct 2012 #27

Will Ipsos release its tracking poll today? Blue Yorker Oct 2012 #28