2016 Postmortem

Hortensis

(58,785 posts)

59. Iowa's Democratics are notable for being strongly liberal.

Sun Jan 31, 2016, 02:05 PM

Jan 2016

I strongly suspect our Bernie-or-no-one contingent has few liberals and that that is the reason for that striking difference.

Most berners here may be leftist, but their emotional behavior and reasoning are definitely pretty consistent with those of extremists in the right wing. And not at all with liberal reasoning.

I wasn't here for other elections, so I'm very curious about how many might end up behind Trump or Rubio if Bernie loses the nomination. Also about how many might become more open to other ideas if the influence of the anti-liberals was lessened.

Btw, I saw your "Hillary calm and confident" post. I find it easy to believe that she may be a very good president. Women tend to be pretty hard-nosed about problems and less inclined to just work around them than men. Let it be so!

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The most accurate Iowa Democratic poll has just come out! [View all] CajunBlazer Jan 2016 OP

K&R. Go Hillary! lunamagica Jan 2016 #1

What about the other 10%? n/t californiabernin Jan 2016 #2

Up for grabs! Get canvassing! Agschmid Jan 2016 #4

What about some support for the Register's claim of accuracy? kristopher Jan 2016 #9

I have edited my original post above to include links to a Politico article about accuracy CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #46

1000 words of prose and anecdotes isn't worth one graph. kristopher Jan 2016 #49

My 2nd reply. kristopher Jan 2016 #50

FiveThirtyEight concurs. BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #51

GO BERNIE!!!! SoundS fantastic to me. Going from zero to nearly tied is INCREDIBLE! nc4bo Jan 2016 #3

Bernie!!!! 840high Jan 2016 #19

Close only counts in hand grenades and atomic bombs CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #20

Within MOE is too close to call. This is great news for Sanders. nc4bo Jan 2016 #22

Incredibly meaningless CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #32

Bernie was never inevitable but Hill sure was and lookie nc4bo Jan 2016 #36

As a Hillary supporter I would rather be in my shoes than yours CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #37

"Close" counts in delegates (n/t) Mike__M Jan 2016 #25

And if Bernie's college students don't caucus in their home towns... CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #31

I expect a lot of students will simply cut class on Tuesday. winter is coming Jan 2016 #38

Hmmm..... CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #40

Poll not reflective of youth voters who don't have land line NowSam Jan 2016 #5

The poll consisted of landline AND cell phone users. DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #11

I stand corrected. NowSam Jan 2016 #12

Actually they call enough young people with cell phones to get a good sample CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #45

Okay so we can safely say that at least 42% of Iowans polled NowSam Jan 2016 #56

DMR says new caucus goer turnout is going to be higher for Rs than for Ds kristopher Jan 2016 #18

Yesterday a voxal bernie supporter BainsBane Jan 2016 #23

Not to rain on your parade CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #26

Personally, regardless of outcome Mike__M Jan 2016 #34

Typical - its another conspiriency - LOL!!! CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #35

Poll's margin of error is 4 points Depaysement Jan 2016 #6

It will be quite interesting to watch results. If general election is so close, I will need meds. Hoyt Jan 2016 #7

Over 80% have favorable opinion of BOTH Hillary and Bernie. Hortensis Jan 2016 #8

I do too. I respect them and O'Malley. lovemydog Jan 2016 #48

That is a major point that is too often lost on those BlueMTexpat Jan 2016 #52

Iowa's Democratics are notable for being strongly liberal. Hortensis Jan 2016 #59

“I will take the Des Moines Register poll, which is the gold standard for polls in Iowa,” DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #10

That's the third time you've posted that here. John Poet Jan 2016 #53

That's that direct, no-nonsense side I admire in him. Hortensis Jan 2016 #54

That would be a huge win for sanders SoLeftIAmRight Jan 2016 #13

Lol. When it's within the MOE, it middles little diffence morningfog Jan 2016 #14

Wrong - this poll actually means statistially that Clinton has.... CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #41

We'll know in a very short time. Go Bernie! morningfog Jan 2016 #47

Actually, a very slim loss wouldn't be terrible. joshcryer Jan 2016 #15

And where does O'Malley's 3% go when he fails to reach the 15% threshold? thesquanderer Jan 2016 #16

Statistical dead heat. Amazing. cali Jan 2016 #17

Just because the results are within the poll's Margin of Error (or MoE).... CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #39

In fact I believe it would be 77% chance Hillary is ahead. DCBob Jan 2016 #42

Again, from Twitter SheenaR Jan 2016 #21

That wasn't the Des Moines Register poll - The DMR poll was the only one to call that race right CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #29

Ann has picked eight of the last nine IA caucus winners./Nt DemocratSinceBirth Jan 2016 #55

Looks like a victory for Hillary in Iowa. DCBob Jan 2016 #24

DU rec...nt SidDithers Jan 2016 #27

3 percent of landline voters without electricity. bunnies Jan 2016 #28

If they have cell phones they're covered in this poll already CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #30

It's basically tied; the difference is within the margin of error; it's a statistical tie; GO BERNIE amborin Jan 2016 #33

Not really. DCBob Jan 2016 #43

Wrong - the poll results actually mean that Hillary has... CajunBlazer Jan 2016 #44

Thanks for posting Gothmog Jan 2016 #57

Within the margin of error, so it is a statistical dead heat nt amborin Jan 2016 #58