Concealed carry predictions way off target (No blood in the streets)

[Straw Man]

14. I lie? That's as obnoxious as it is untrue, Jimmy.

What I wrote was true. You lie with statistics, ignoring intervening years & making a typical maths error in spreading your disinformation, thinking the big upward murder rate bulge signified nothing.

And what I wrote was equally true. I did not lie, nor did I make any math error. I merely demonstrated that speculation about the meaning of statistics is just that: speculation.

I see that you're also avoiding the plain fact that "violent crime" isn't necessarily committed with guns.

Correlation is correlation, it can either support causation or be coincidence. The axiom is meant to prevent unrealistic & ridiculous links based simply on correlation.

Right. And you've done exactly that: made a link based on correlation alone.

But a link between guns & crime rates, is not unrealistic, nor ridiculous.

Maybe, maybe not. You've done nothing but posit a connection, but have ignored other factors, such as the crack epidemic and changes in policing policies.