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jimmy the one

(2,758 posts)
13. unrealistic & ridiculous
Mon Apr 13, 2015, 04:19 PM
Apr 2015

straw man: Yet the murder rate was actually lower in 2013 than it was in 1964 (your chosen comparison years).

You need to read thoroughly before you post a reply. Is the year 1993 invisible to you? Abracadabra:

...... pop .......... total crime...... viol ... property ... murder
1964 .. 191,141,000 .. 2,388.1 .. 190.6 .. 2,197.5 .. 4.9
1993 ..257,908,000 .. 5,484.4 .. 746.8 .. 4,737.7 .. 9.5
2013 .. 316,128,839 .. 3,098.6 .. 367.9 .. 2,730.7 .. 4.5


what I'd written: violent crime increased & murder increased (now simply down to parity with 60's)

What I wrote was true. You lie with statistics, ignoring intervening years & making a typical maths error in spreading your disinformation, thinking the big upward murder rate bulge signified nothing.
If you were to average all the years between 1964 & 2013 you'd get more than 5 murder rate, maybe 6 to 7 I'd guess. That is more indicative of the murder rates for those years, not 4.9 & 4.5, which are misleading.
You get on a roller coaster ride at the start, get off before it leaves, get back on when it completes its trip & say 'what's the big deal? its in the same place'.

straw man: So.. more guns = more violent crime but less murder? Correlation ain't causation, Jimmy.

Murder is but a small percentage of violent crime, a couple percent.
Correlation is correlation, it can either support causation or be coincidence. The axiom is meant to prevent unrealistic & ridiculous links based simply on correlation. But a link between guns & crime rates, is not unrealistic, nor ridiculous.



Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

Their fears never really pan out, they sell fear to folks that are ignorant of the facts ileus Apr 2015 #1
I can't imagine what it is to live in fear like that every minute of the day. Nuclear Unicorn Apr 2015 #5
Started our 2nd year in Illinois, 124,000 permits and still waiting ... DonP Apr 2015 #2
This message was self-deleted by its author petronius Apr 2015 #3
No blood in calculuz classes either Lurks Often Apr 2015 #4
Wasn't there supposed to be a daily re-enactment... NaturalHigh Apr 2015 #6
The control side is absolutely sure of so many things that just never happen DonP Apr 2015 #7
It isn't just that. beevul Apr 2015 #8
I once used, "small I ignorant" in a post - it got hidden DonP Apr 2015 #9
a gn's false premises jimmy the one Apr 2015 #10
Are those gonzo stats? Straw Man Apr 2015 #11
unrealistic & ridiculous jimmy the one Apr 2015 #13
I lie? That's as obnoxious as it is untrue, Jimmy. Straw Man Apr 2015 #14
ignorable jimmy the one Apr 2015 #16
Ignoble. Straw Man Apr 2015 #17
2 + 2 = 4, a four-gone conclusion jimmy the one Apr 2015 #20
Mixing causation with coincidence again, huh? Straw Man Apr 2015 #21
your inherent weakness jimmy the one Apr 2015 #22
One hardly knows where to begin ... Straw Man Apr 2015 #23
playing stupid? jimmy the one Apr 2015 #24
Ad nauseum, ad absurdum. Straw Man Apr 2015 #28
scrutiny jimmy the one Apr 2015 #30
I'll try to make this very plain for you, Jimmy. Straw Man Apr 2015 #31
Hmm....interesting exchange. blueridge3210 Apr 2015 #32
pac man jimmy the one Apr 2015 #25
You just don't get it, do you? Straw Man Apr 2015 #27
It's absolutely "bigoted and sickening" not to mention a shameful POV DonP Apr 2015 #12
nobody pays attention to jimmy, except, nobodies jimmy the one Apr 2015 #15
Irony. Straw Man Apr 2015 #18
parry to parry jimmy the one Apr 2015 #26
In other words ... Straw Man Apr 2015 #29
A few observations... jeepnstein Apr 2015 #19
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