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Response to Tansy_Gold (Original post)

Wed Apr 4, 2012, 06:39 AM

26. Something Strange: The Economy Is Behaving Badly In The Least Expected Way

http://www.businessinsider.com/the-economy-has-behaved-exactly-the-opposite-of-how-people-expected-2012-4

***snip

We thought we'd be watching closely the high-frequency indicators, like same-store sales numbers and initial claims to get the first signs of problems, but that hasn't been how things have developed at all.

The weekly retail data has been great. Today's number was one of the best in a year. We had a few dicey weeks right when the gas surged, but everything's hunky dory on this front.

On the other hand, the big stuff has been not good.

Every single piece of recent housing data has been a miss.

And then today, it came out that the March auto sales numbers dipped sharply from February.

Also, construction numbers beyond housing have been poor.

So basically, the high-frequency consumer stuff has been fine, and the big money, investment stuff has backslid.

Frankly we'd rather have it be the other way, though this is just a few weeks worth of data, and you don't want to read too much into a handful of numbers.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/the-economy-has-behaved-exactly-the-opposite-of-how-people-expected-2012-4#ixzz1r4DDRGds

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