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Response to T_i_B (Original post)

Fri May 5, 2017, 06:27 AM

19. Hampshire result: collapse of UKIP, to the Tories' benefit

In 2013, the vote split was Con 37.5%, LibDem 21.7%, UKIP 18.7%, Labour 3.5% and Green 2.8%. This year it was Con 52%, Lib Dem 27%, Labour 11%, UKIP 4% and Green 3%. Tories gained 11 seats, Lib Dems gained 2, Labour lost 2, an Independent lost 1, and UKIP lost all 10 (there were boundary changes too).

Turnout in my ward was 46%, up on last time and the 2015 by-election - quite respectable for a county election in the end. The Tory stayed in . Adding up Tory and Lib Dem votes in the wards that make up the Westminster constituency of Winchester, it's roughly neck-and-neck (can't say exactly because county and Westminster boundaries don't coincide exactly). But from past experience that will mean the Tory gets the seat anyway - the more local it is, the better the Lib Dems do.

But things look good in the neighbouring Eastleigh constituency - Lib Dems won all the wards that are in that. So they look like they have a realistic chance of going back to a Lib Dem MP (which they had had from the early 90s until 2015).

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T_i_B Mar 2017 OP
Denzil_DC Mar 2017 #1
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LeftishBrit Mar 2017 #8
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muriel_volestrangler May 2017 #14
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LeftishBrit May 2017 #16
hrmjustin May 2017 #17
T_i_B May 2017 #18
LineNew Reply Hampshire result: collapse of UKIP, to the Tories' benefit
muriel_volestrangler May 2017 #19
Denzil_DC May 2017 #20
Denzil_DC May 2017 #23
T_i_B May 2017 #24
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