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Response to mysteryowl (Original post)

Wed Jun 10, 2020, 08:08 PM

2. This is why I think Trump will win

 

Dems keep forgetting one important lesson: An election is a popularity contest. It's not about rage or revolution or self-expression. It's about popularity.

Destroying Columbus statuary is not a popular move. You may argue that such a move SHOULD be popular, and I might even agree with what you have to say. But we're not talking about the word "should." We're talking about the word "IS." Like it or not, destroying this statue IS not a move likely to meet with popular approval.

Removing confederate statues -- which should have happened a LONG time ago -- is not popular. I wish the situation were otherwise, believe me! I was appalled to run across a double equestrian statue of Robert E. Lee and Stonewall Jackson here in my adopted hometown of Baltimore. (The statue was removed quietly a couple of years ago.) But I'm not going to pretend that removal of such monuments is popular when the polling tells me otherwise.

Justice and equality are popular notions. If Dems stick to those ideas, they will win. But "Defund the police" is not popular. Reparations are not popular. Busing (a concept forever associated with Kamala Harris) is not popular.

Political correctness is not popular. Identity politics is not popular -- not even with members of minority groups. (Look at the polling.)

Feminism is not popular, not even with women. Look at the polling. Feminists have had many decades to make their argument, but they've not made the sale. Not even with women. Gender equality IS popular -- vastly popular -- but feminism is not. Less than a third of American women identify as feminists according to the most recent Ipsos poll. If feminist spokespersons had not repulsed so many Americans, the "pro-equality" and "pro-feminist" numbers would be equal. But they are not.

Progressives who do not care about popularity do not want power. Deep down, they WANT Trump to win. They perversely enjoy feeling rage.

For my part, I consider global warming the single most important issue of our time. If the Democratic party is seen as the champion of so many unpopular stances, it will not be able to accrue the power needed to assure the survival of our species.

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mysteryowl Jun 10 OP
Wellstone ruled Jun 10 #1
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JCannon Jun 10 #2
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