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samsingh

(18,093 posts)
Mon Oct 28, 2024, 12:02 PM Oct 2024

Early voting: 47% Dem, 44% Rep, 9% Ind is voting 61%-35% Harris-Trump [View all]

This discussion thread was locked as off-topic by Omaha Steve (a host of the Latest Breaking News forum).

Source: Daily Kos

Several polls out lately have asked people if they’ve already voted, and if they have, how they have voted. Here are the polls and the Harris-Trump percentages those early voters have said they voted.

ABC/Ipsos: Harris 62-33
CNN: Harris 61-36
NYT/Siena: Harris 58-40
HarrisX poll: Harris 61-32
USAToday/Suffolk: Harris 63-34
That’s 5 polls all showing roughly the same thing. There was also a Marist poll of 3 swing states showing Harris up 10-12 points in the early voting of each state, but I’ll just use national polls. Swing states will be closer than the national average (which is why they’re swing states), but there are also blue states where Harris will be ahead even more.

That’s an average of 61.2% for Harris, 35% for Trump.

What this means is that a partisan split of approx. 47% Dem, 44% Rep, 9% Ind is voting approx. 61%-35% Harris-Trump.

Read more: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/10/27/2280123/-Early-voting-47-Dem-44-Rep-9-Ind-is-voting-61-35-Harris-Trump



This is what i believe is happening with the higher republican voting. Based on all the polls in the article representing real data (not assumptions), the trend is where i would expect it to be.

Get the vote out!
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Well samsingh, thank you, this is *exactly* what I think is ACTUALLY happening Leghorn21 Oct 2024 #1
One caveat to this is the poll jumbers are almost a week old ColinC Oct 2024 #2
The current early voting data demographic/party splits remain the same though Mr.WeRP Oct 2024 #4
Yeah. Im looking for as much of a "but where is the catch?!" As possible ColinC Oct 2024 #7
Just over a week to go! Let's do this! Mr.WeRP Oct 2024 #8
Yes!! samsingh Oct 2024 #26
This seems to say a high percentage of indies and repubs are breaking for harris? getagrip_already Oct 2024 #3
Which is a huge percentage of republicans. ColinC Oct 2024 #5
It may be a huge percentage, Phil1967 Oct 2024 #16
Well 7% is how it translated to the overall numbers ColinC Oct 2024 #17
You got a point, Phil1967 Oct 2024 #19
I expected maybe that amount to not vote. But to outright vote for Harris?! This is pretty shocking ColinC Oct 2024 #21
Reply deleted TheRickles Oct 2024 #12
that's enough to flip alot of races samsingh Oct 2024 #27
Keep in mind that people don't always tell the truth Novara Oct 2024 #6
Thanks for posting this Farmer-Rick Oct 2024 #9
the aggregators are purposely trying to drive the tight race argument samsingh Oct 2024 #28
It would be good to think, once again, that ideas, character, policy, honesty, words, and track records matter and wiggs Oct 2024 #10
Landslide !!!! Karadeniz Oct 2024 #11
This is great news!!! Thank you, samsingh. wordstroken Oct 2024 #13
hopefully those margins will spill over into Senate and House races RussBLib Oct 2024 #14
I've seen analysts say up to 10% of R ballots could go for Harris. CaptainTruth Oct 2024 #15
Looks good. I hope it holds... Wounded Bear Oct 2024 #18
Blue skies lookin' at me, ReRe Oct 2024 #20
It is funny how these polls were attacked. former9thward Oct 2024 #22
Works for me Rocknation Oct 2024 #23
this is great of course but the pattern has always been for Repubs to wait until the day of the election where they will LymphocyteLover Oct 2024 #24
Turnout is heavy liberal N proud Oct 2024 #25
AFTER a review by forum hosts LOCKING Omaha Steve Oct 2024 #29
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