HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Latest Breaking News (Forum) » Indonesia passenger plane... » Reply #8

Response to James48 (Original post)

Sat Jan 9, 2021, 06:12 PM

8. I got curious about the number of fatal 737 crashes by model

I checked out Wikipedia's List of accidents and incidents involving the Boeing 737. '

'For anyone as nerdy as I am, below is what a got from the page -- and from other sources on production timelines and numbers.

Looks like there have been a total of 126 crashes of 737's (all models) since 1970. (May not be perfectly accurate -- went through pretty quick).

The bottom line is that I think I'd prefer to stick with the Next Generation models when flying (737-600/-700/-800/-900).

A couple tidbits from elsewhere:

Number of 737's (all models) delivered through Feb 2020 = 10,575

An analysis by Boeing on commercial jet airplane accidents in the period 19592017 showed that the Next Generation series had a hull loss rate of 0.17 per million departures compared to 0.71 for the classic series and 1.75 for the original series.[73] source. I assume hull loss includes non-fatal.

==============================
737 Original (-100/-200) aircraft started flying in 1967

77 fatal crashes in 54 years = 1.43 per year

Produced from 1967 to 1988

30 737/100's produced
1,095 727/200 produced

Assuming the planes produced all went into service that's fatal loss of about 70 planes per 1000 over 50 years operating (Crashes per number of flights or flight hours would be much more meaningful, but don't know that)

0 - 1967
0 - 1968
0 - 1969
1 - 1970
0 - 1971
2 - 1972
2 - 1973
0 - 1974
1 - 1975
0 - 1976
2 - 1977
1 - 1978
1 - 1979
1 - 1980
2 - 1981
3 - 1982
3 - 1983
2 - 1984
3 - 1985
3 - 1986
2 - 1987
4 - 1988
2 - 1989
1 - 1990
1 - 1991
2 - 1992
9 - 1993
2 - 1994
3 - 1995
3 - 1996
1 - 1997
1 - 1998
2 - 1999
1 - 2000
0 - 2001
1 - 2002
2 - 2003
0 - 2004
3 - 2005
1 - 2006
2 - 2007
2 - 2008
0 - 2009
2 - 2010
1 - 2011
1 - 2012
0 - 2013
0 - 2014
0 - 2015
0 - 2016
0 - 2017
1 - 2018
0 - 2019 (as of 2019, only 46 still in service, generally with charter operators)
0 - 2020

----------------------------------
737 Classic (-300/-400/-500) aircraft (started flying in 1984)

38 years flying, 36 fatal crashes = 1.05 per year

Conflicting numbers. Produced 1984 - 2000. One source says 1,988 were produced. Assuming all produced went into service, a fatal loss of about 18 planes per 1000 planes over 38 years operating (Crashes per number of flights or flight hours would be much more meaningful, but don't know that)
0 - 1984
0 - 1985
0 - 1986
0 - 1997
1 - 1988
2 - 1989
1 - 1990
1 - 1991
1 - 1992
1 - 1993
1 - 1994
0 - 1995
0 - 1996
2 - 1997
1 - 1998
1 - 1999
1 - 2000
1 - 2001
2 - 2002
0 - 2003
1 - 2004
2 - 2005
3 - 2006
3 - 2007
2 - 2008
1 - 2009
2 - 2010
1 - 2011
0 - 2012
1 - 2013
0 - 2014
1 - 2015
1 - 2016
1 - 2017
0 - 2018
0 - 2019
0 - 2020
1 - 2021 (the Indonesia flight)


--------------------------------------
737 Next Generation (-600/-700/-800/-900) started flying in Dec 1997

12 fatal accidents = 0.55 per year

1998 - 2020 7,067 delivered
Fatal loss of 1.6 planes per 1000 over 22 years operating
Sixteen-million hours per accident cited here (includes non-fatal events)


0 - 1998
0 - 1999
0 - 2000
0 - 2001
0 - 2002
0 - 2003
0 - 2004
0 - 2005
1 - 2006
1 - 2007
1 - 2008
0 - 2009
3 - 2010
0 - 2011
0 - 2012
0 - 2013
0 - 2014
0 - 2015
1 - 2016
2 - 2018
0 - 2019
3 - 2020

Max
1 - 2018
1 - 2019




Reply to this post

Back to OP Alert abuse Link to post in-thread

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 9 replies Author Time Post
James48 Jan 9 OP
live love laugh Jan 9 #1
Agschmid Jan 9 #3
regnaD kciN Jan 10 #9
mahatmakanejeeves Jan 9 #2
uppityperson Jan 9 #4
Marrah_Goodman Jan 9 #5
Marthe48 Jan 9 #6
question everything Jan 9 #7
LineNew Reply I got curious about the number of fatal 737 crashes by model
pat_k Jan 9 #8
Please login to view edit histories.