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Response to pampango (Original post)

Sat Oct 6, 2012, 08:43 AM

1. The FSA has lost every major battle in the last few months. Meanwhile, the #s of foreign fighters

in Syria has grown, along with the influence of al-Qaeda and the Jihadis. Defections from the Syrian military to the armed opposition have also dwindled. While the rebels are now equipped with heavier weapons, they are also increasingly divided and dependent upon outside militant groups for manpower and support, forcing surrounding states to take a growing role.

It appears that the insurgency has failed to produce regime change, and this is now turning into a regional war.

After the election, if the Obama Administration has a choice. Either escalate into an open military intervention, or pressure its erstwhile "allies" in the region to reach some accommodation with Damascus. We will see. Either way, there will be costs. Regime change is proving to be a failed policy.

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