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progree

(10,901 posts)
28. The numbers are seasonally adjusted, and that includes adjusting for seasonal hires in such
Fri Aug 2, 2019, 03:50 PM
Aug 2019

months compared to other months. Maybe I'm not understanding your point on the temp hires.

Not sure that the revisions are any greater in sign or magnitude than what I've seen in the past years since I've been doing this (since sometime before 2012). The payroll jobs numbers have a 90% probability of being within +/- 120,000, and that's just sampling error (there are other kinds of errors). http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.tn.htm

But I am a big believer that things are slowing down.

Trouble in paradise - with the 41,000 downard revision, this month's report is only 123,000 more progree Aug 2019 #1
Thank you for that! BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #2
Said this before, Wellstone ruled Aug 2019 #27
The numbers are seasonally adjusted, and that includes adjusting for seasonal hires in such progree Aug 2019 #28
Temp agency Hires used to be treated differently Wellstone ruled Aug 2019 #29
BLS website unresponsive now, at least for time series like progree Aug 2019 #3
Good morning. Thanks for the thread. Links to earlier reports: mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #4
Top of the morning to ya! BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #9
Payroll employment increases by 164,000 in July; unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7% mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #5
It's so BOOMING that Lowe's is laying off THOUSANDS of workers........... Bengus81 Aug 2019 #6
The hide the revisions . Historic NY Aug 2019 #7
The revisions are in the same paragraph where they've been for years. mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #10
"The monthly average for the last three months was 140,000." Last 6 months too progree Aug 2019 #13
Job numbers are terrible rockfordfile Aug 2019 #8
Heard a lady say... safeinOhio Aug 2019 #11
Great Jobs Slowdown: Obama's last 30 mos: 220,000/mo, Feb - July 2019: 141,000/mo progree Aug 2019 #12
Right after I saw your earlier post BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #14
We've had a lot of home burglaries a couple months ago in the Twin Cities area progree Aug 2019 #17
White House PR is noting that the LFPR is edging up. mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #15
Labor Force Participation Rate -- dropped in 2019 (both the regular and Prime Age) progree Aug 2019 #16
Nobody has jobs ... it is not a real economy. It is a phony set of numbers. progree Aug 2019 #20
Jobs #s should continue to be around this level as long as unemployment historically low mathematic Aug 2019 #18
See posts #12 & #16. nt BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #19
I read every post in this thread before I posted, thanks. mathematic Aug 2019 #21
Yet you blanket-blamed (implying all) posts in this thread BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #22
I explictly say that a lower participation rate is not inherently bad mathematic Aug 2019 #25
The issue is the age group with the declining participation rate BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #26
Additional links: mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #23
Per Indeed, growth in the goods-producing sectors is slowing. mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #24
From August 21, 2019. Adding to this thread: Announcement 2019 CES Preliminary Benchmark Revision mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #30
Thanks for the update! BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #31
Good afternoon. mahatmakanejeeves Aug 2019 #32
Yup! BumRushDaShow Aug 2019 #33
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