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Response to Cali_Democrat (Original post)

Thu May 5, 2016, 08:40 PM

49. This is going to be excruciating.

I'm saying this out loud, both for myself and a lot of you. American Presidential elections are bullshit. Total bullshit.

There is a particular cycle that runaway elections go through; I can give you three recent examples: Dole v Clinton ('96), McCain v Obama ('08), Romney v Obama ('12).

All three of these elections were blowouts, pretty much from beginning to end, although you can fairly say that McCain v Obama wasn't a blowout until they picked Palin as the running mate. In each case the Republican candidate was weak and fatally flawed, yet the Republican enjoyed the majority of the coverage--usually because they were saying stupid things.

All three of these elections went through a totally fucking infuriating cycle in which the press "pushed" the eventual loser closer, and closer, and closer to the leader and pretended it was a much closer race than it really was. All three had a fake-ass "surge" in August which was really just pollsters and news organizations trying to make the race interesting in the political black hole that is August.

Two out of the three races then "walked back" the polls in October, as pollsters began trying to establish a good call so that they could get hired in the next cycle. (It's pretty damned scary that some polls did not walk back Obama-Romney, and tried VERY hard to keep it within the margin of error. If they could have, the GOP would have tried to steal it like they did in '04.)

In the end, all three were solid victories. And, also infuriatingly, in the aftermath of all three were a series of sheepish articles in which political and journalist insiders confessed that they knew it was a blowout months in advance.

And this is where we are. We know this is a blowout, months in advance. If we all do our duty, check our registrations right now, and make sure not to let shitty employers and governments prevent us, we'll crush this election.

Soon, my anxiety won't let me believe my own words. But here it is, the whole story, long in advance: The Press and the Republican Party will make a good show of it because a close race sells subscriptions and protects the gerrymandered House. But even with a third party candidate in it--and I expect one any day now--they're still going to get their asses kicked.

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Cali_Democrat May 2016 OP
postulater May 2016 #1
snooper2 May 2016 #2
1StrongBlackMan May 2016 #27
floppyboo May 2016 #30
Baobab May 2016 #37
postulater May 2016 #41
hack89 May 2016 #64
Sherman A1 May 2016 #3
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0rganism May 2016 #4
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Beacool May 2016 #6
houston16revival May 2016 #8
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Saviolo May 2016 #20
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Beacool May 2016 #25
houston16revival May 2016 #7
Cali_Democrat May 2016 #10
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1StrongBlackMan May 2016 #29
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1StrongBlackMan May 2016 #40
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lancer78 May 2016 #47
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lancer78 May 2016 #60
Tarheel_Dem May 2016 #61
Gore1FL May 2016 #48
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Tarheel_Dem May 2016 #56
Gore1FL May 2016 #63
Cali_Democrat May 2016 #53
pangaia May 2016 #32
LineReply This is going to be excruciating.
sofa king May 2016 #49
riversedge May 2016 #55
libodem May 2016 #66
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