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Response to bluestateguy (Reply #1)

Sun May 20, 2012, 02:52 PM

14. the real value of the poll is that it shows


1) efforts by radical Republican legislatures are depressing the lean right vote and energizing the left

and

2) Romney is putting his base asleep. Romney's negatives in this poll in Tennessee are higer than Obama's.

While Tennessee almost certainly will got to Romney

a) Romney may have to spend money and time to defend the reddest of states
b) He has to compete against not only Obama but the negative effects of a far right wing state legislature
c) If these trends hold up in other states with radical Republican legislatures then Romney is in a world of whole lot of hurt.

Now before we write of Tennessee off completely there is one other dynamic that has to be noted. The more Romney campaigns and the more people see and know about him the less likely they are to vote for him. Romney currently has a 7 point lead among registered voters in Tennessee, he needs to keep that margin and get them to care enough to actually go and vote.

While it is fairly certain that on election day a majority of Tennesseans will prefer Romney to Obama it is not certain that a majority of those willing to go and vote will.

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Arrow 47 replies Author Time Post
kpete May 2012 OP
bluestateguy May 2012 #1
PatrynXX May 2012 #3
bluestateguy May 2012 #4
Renew Deal May 2012 #44
Swede Atlanta May 2012 #9
broiles May 2012 #10
Major Nikon May 2012 #16
groundloop May 2012 #26
bluestateguy May 2012 #12
secondvariety May 2012 #18
PoliticAverse May 2012 #19
freshwest May 2012 #21
AzDar May 2012 #23
Post removed May 2012 #25
southerncrone May 2012 #31
lonestarnot May 2012 #43
dipsydoodle May 2012 #46
LineLineReply the real value of the poll is that it shows
grantcart May 2012 #14
SharonAnn May 2012 #28
southerncrone May 2012 #32
Lars39 May 2012 #34
Major Nikon May 2012 #17
jwirr May 2012 #2
Dawson Leery May 2012 #5
Drunken Irishman May 2012 #6
liberalnationalist May 2012 #24
Igel May 2012 #7
happerbolic May 2012 #13
onehandle May 2012 #8
Iliyah May 2012 #11
TlalocW May 2012 #15
iemitsu May 2012 #30
Lars39 May 2012 #33
iemitsu May 2012 #35
Lars39 May 2012 #36
iemitsu May 2012 #37
Lars39 May 2012 #38
iemitsu May 2012 #39
Lars39 May 2012 #40
iemitsu May 2012 #41
Lars39 May 2012 #42
cstanleytech May 2012 #45
BumRushDaShow May 2012 #20
freshwest May 2012 #22
nineteen50 May 2012 #27
Tarheel_Dem May 2012 #29
Auntie Bush May 2012 #47
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