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Response to tabasco (Reply #53)

Fri Apr 27, 2012, 05:57 PM

54. Your numbers

From here:
http://felonvoting.procon.org/sourcefiles/uggen_manza_asr_02.pdf


Sorry this is copied from a table in a PDF (page 17 of the PDF, says page 793 in the top right corner.)


Unit
U.S. total
Florida felons and ex-felons 50-percent lower turnout
Florida ex-felons only 50-percent lower turnout
Actual Total Republican Disenfran Margin -chised
–539,947 4,695,729
537 827,207 — —
— 613,514 — —
Estimated Estimated Turnout Percent
Percent Democrat 29.7 68.9
27.2 68.9 13.6 68.9
27.2 68.9 13.6 68.9
Net Democratic Votes Lost
527,171
85,050 42,525
63,079 31,540
Counter- factual Democratic Margin
1,067,118
84,513 41,988
62,542 31,003
Sources: Congressional Quarterly, Inc. (2000); Current (2000).
Population Survey (2000); National Election Study



Those are your numbers, though I would highly recommend reading the whole document. It is very informative and explains why felon disenfranchisement is very much a political tool.

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shawn703 Apr 2012 OP
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