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Response to leveymg (Reply #128)

Tue Jun 28, 2016, 05:58 PM

129. Those figures you've quoted aren't about Remain or Leave, though

(and you've copied the social grade figures into the age group by mistake - that should read "36% 37% 37% 35% 38% 47% "

This is about what goes along with the decision to Remain or Leave.

(for anyone else, here's the link to the detailed figures: http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/How-the-UK-voted-Full-tables-1.pdf )

Take the figures for 'capitalism - good or ill' for Labour voters (I've taken Labour because I think we're thinking about people who vote similarly to ourselves) - Table 33, p.162
---- leave rem total
good 332 659 991
mix 408 704 1112
ill 500 793 1293

The ratio for those who think capitalism is good is about 2.0 remain for 1 leave; ill about 1.6. There's not much difference between the 2, with those who think capitalism good slightly more likely to vote Remain.

Now look at immigration Table 34 p.170
---- leave rem total
good 233 1372 1605
mix 298 509 807
ill 712 277 989

The ratio for those who think immigration is good is about 5.9 remain for 1 leave; ill about 0.4. There's a huge difference; those who think immigration is good are far more likely to have voted Remain, and those who think it's a force for ill far more likely to Leave. The opinions on multiculturalism show a similar pattern :

---- leave rem tot
good 436 1630 2066
mix 338 346 684
ill 467 181 648

Globalisation comes somewhere in the middle:

---- leave rem tot
good 436 1169 1605
mix 444 638 1082
ill 358 347 705

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