contested incumbent party primary is one of lichtman's keys to the presidency, and we don't have much wiggle room.

who would make the more effective candidate? unclear. hillary would certainly raise more corporate money. warren would certainly fire up the base more. republicans would use either to fund-raise for their own candidates.

i'd dearly love to see warren as president, but my main concern is the money aspect. i don't see her being able to raise a ton of money effectively and i do see corporates pouring an insane amount of money to ensure her defeat. our campaign finance system sucks, doesn't it?

she's got much in common with obama in terms of quickly coming on the public scene and striking a chord, but obama was ambitious and methodical in building political connections and a means to gain power. warren was essentially drafted, i don't see her having a comparable fund-raising machine.

my guess in fact is that warren doesn't even want to be president, or at least doesn't want to run for it. i think she cares about issues, not power. but she's smart enough to keep her own profile to help her issues along.