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RecoveringJournalist

(175 posts) Thu Oct 10, 2024, 10:31 AM Oct 10

Shifting Polls [View all]

I've begun to see a lot of publicity about a recent perceived shift in polling toward Trump and away from Harris. I would be lying if I said it didn't make me nervous. What have you all been seeing and does anyone have ideas on real ways to counter this shift (if it's real?)

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Shifting Polls [View all] RecoveringJournalist Oct 10 OP

They are basing this on one poll which is nonsense because JohnSJ Oct 10 #1

I don't think this is the true picture. Nor is it about a single poll. stopdiggin Oct 10 #6

It is 100% based on one poll with sketchy methodology obamanut2012 Oct 10 #8

The OP is fairly clear in NOT referencing a single poll stopdiggin Oct 10 #12

Not one poll RecoveringJournalist Oct 10 #19

That is effectively what will determine the election. The popular vote is meaningless. JohnSJ Oct 10 #11

The race has been remarkably static Johnny2X2X Oct 10 #2

Yes. GOTV is all. pat_k Oct 10 #52

The corporate media always pushes a horse race narrative. Patton French Oct 10 #3

you're correct stopdiggin Oct 10 #4

they aren't credible RJ_MacReady Oct 10 #10

This here ScratchCat Oct 10 #36

I could see some people RJ_MacReady Oct 10 #39

It's NOT "just the way it is" Fiendish Thingy Oct 10 #17

amen....they're flooding the landscape with bogus polls democratsruletheday Oct 10 #18

It turned out Zeitghost Oct 10 #48

I mean the average has her up mid 3s qazplm135 Oct 10 #22

538 has Harris +2.6% and RCP has Harris +2.0 and 270towin has Harris +2.7% WarGamer Oct 10 #24

I'm trying to remain logical and stay with the facts OnDoutside Oct 10 #5

Wow! You have incredible self restraint obamanut2012 Oct 10 #7

This is only my 284th post in 16 years TeslaNova Oct 10 #16

Not as hard as you think RecoveringJournalist Oct 10 #20

Trump has some "good" commercials Prairie Gates Oct 10 #9

Not being in a swing state, I haven't seen many of them. But, those I've heard are evil. PeaceWave Oct 10 #27

I Live In PA RobinA Oct 10 #40

Every week somebody drags in a horrible poll. GreenWave Oct 10 #13

My take is this: ColinC Oct 10 #14

I disagree...polling errors will favor Republicans, just like in 2022 and recent special elections. tableturner Oct 10 #45

Polling errors favored Dems in 2022 for statewide polls ColinC Oct 10 #47

We are I think actually saying the same thing...see below... tableturner Oct 10 #50

Oh right 100% ColinC Oct 10 #57

In fact here is what would happen if the 2022 average senate polling error was transferred into swing states for Prez ColinC Oct 10 #49

What is happening is Red Wave pollsters are manipulating the averages. Fiendish Thingy Oct 10 #15

While that is a factor, it's more than that Amishman Oct 10 #38

The Quinnipiac and Emerson polls have far less impact on averages than the dozens of other shitty polls Fiendish Thingy Oct 10 #42

They do need to start hitting back with tougher ads Thrill Oct 10 #21

I am leery of methods, biases and sample sizes in polls. The only poll that counts is in November. dameatball Oct 10 #23

I've watched this Two Way (Mark Halperin zoom) sky_masterson Oct 10 #25

Mark Halperin is a wingnut and Cenk is not a liberal obamanut2012 Oct 10 #29

I always want to know what the other side is thinking/doing. sky_masterson Oct 10 #31

I watch Mark and then it was easy kansasobama Oct 10 #34

He is very dishonest in his coverage sky_masterson Oct 10 #41

Trump is always attacking while Harris is mostly defending. clutterbox1830 Oct 10 #26

Scared Dee0909 Oct 10 #28

Your concern is noted obamanut2012 Oct 10 #30

These are deliberate winger polls meant to sow mistrust. Setup for the challenges to come. lindysalsagal Oct 10 #32

Shifiting polls sells ads. -misanthroptimist Oct 10 #33

Shifting polls sells ads -misanthroptimist Oct 10 #35

I follow Christopher Bouzy on twitter crimycarny Oct 10 #37

IEM market today: Harris 86-14 Newfrontier0101 Oct 10 #43

Not sure how polls work anymore SomedayKindaLove Oct 10 #44

The billionaire criminal class is going to sell us out to authoritarianism so they can become trillionaires. Initech Oct 10 #46

IT IS ONE POLL!! LETS WORK HARD FOR HARRIS/WALZ!! OrlandoDem2 Oct 10 #51

The purpose of the OP so obvious ThreeNoSeep Oct 10 #53

Another Thought RecoveringJournalist Oct 10 #58

Tomarrow they will have a poll that shows Harris ahead, gotta keep it doc03 Oct 10 #54

one poll scared me then i read it was for a very specific samnsara Oct 10 #55

Here we go again, someone comes up w/ a shifting polls narrative. And tries to make hay w/ it. And after the SWBTATTReg Oct 10 #56