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Oopsie Daisy

(4,461 posts)
33. It's a mistake to overestimate what people know (or ought to know.)
Sun Sep 15, 2024, 10:13 AM
Sep 15
>> Please don't reply that we have to work and get out the vote. There's no one on this site that doesn't know that.
Perhaps. But some may need more motivation to get out and DO the things they already know they NEED to do.

god do I hate those 'reminders' bigtree Sep 15 #1
I think it might be a "good luck" thing. SleeplessinSoCal Sep 15 #38
Also: Sky Jewels Sep 15 #41
It is good news because Kamala's lead was narrowing before the debate. Doodley Sep 15 #2
I agree kansasobama Sep 15 #5
With shithole, his comrades and his cult........................ Lovie777 Sep 15 #3
Here is the link kansasobama Sep 15 #4
what's the margin of error? returnee Sep 15 #6
+/-2% MOE Fiendish Thingy Sep 15 #11
I found this study of polls to be interesting Farmer-Rick Sep 15 #21
Misinterpretation of Confidence Intervals BlueInID Sep 15 #28
Yeah, I know Farmer-Rick Sep 15 #55
It's only a "slight" lead because we are Democrats. 6pts for an R is a nuclear lead. Maru Kitteh Sep 15 #7
yay America BoRaGard Sep 15 #8
Odd that the 2% MOE is unchanged between Adults/RVs/LVs Fiendish Thingy Sep 15 #9
Most polls shift to "likely" voters after Labor Day, so probably...nt Wounded Bear Sep 15 #10
This is Excellent News if it's Based on "Likely Voters" Indykatie Sep 15 #12
MSM will focus on the least favorable poll kansasobama Sep 15 #13
Aha, just as I expected kansasobama Sep 15 #22
Is there a link to polls in the key battleground states? Martin Eden Sep 15 #14
Hillary won the PV by 2.3% and lost the ECV Pototan Sep 15 #17
I guess I don't hold our "founding fathers" in such high regard as many people. groundloop Sep 15 #30
In the late 18th century, it was necessary for actual Electors to convene. Martin Eden Sep 15 #35
I was discussing that with a person this morning Pototan Sep 15 #40
It's amazing to me that someone who tried to Emile Sep 15 #15
My guess is, he's not. I don't trust the pollsters, nor their methods. mucholderthandirt Sep 15 #16
total agreement et tu Sep 15 #18
Inside the cult, Trump is Jesus Johonny Sep 15 #32
The polls are definitely trending in the right direction Buckeyeblue Sep 15 #19
Speculators on predictit.org disagree William Seger Sep 15 #20
? What does your chart say? Emile Sep 15 #24
Those are "yes" share prices, Harris on top, currently $0.57 to $0.47 William Seger Sep 15 #34
I was probably too brief William Seger Sep 15 #50
RCP odds before ABC poll Pototan Sep 15 #25
Six point lead for Trump, the MSM, would call insurmountable. We know who they are in the tank for AZLD4Candidate Sep 15 #23
Well, to be fair Pototan Sep 15 #29
I think Kamala's poll numbers will keep going up ... ificandream Sep 15 #26
That is my take also, that Kamala's numbers won't go backwards crud Sep 15 #27
"I'll take my chances in the swing states" - TBF Sep 15 #31
This has nothing to do with the popular vote *determining* the presidency, but it does *strongly correlate* RidinWithHarris Sep 15 #42
Correlation does not imply causation. nt TBF Sep 15 #43
And? RidinWithHarris Sep 15 #44
You posted your argument relying on correlation - TBF Sep 15 #45
If the subject is polling, the subject is automatically correlation, not causation RidinWithHarris Sep 15 #47
Talk about games TBF Sep 15 #48
Thanks... RidinWithHarris Sep 15 #49
no problem, TBF Sep 22 #58
6% means she would win rhe EC obamanut2012 Sep 15 #51
It's a mistake to overestimate what people know (or ought to know.) Oopsie Daisy Sep 15 #33
And remember this poll is from a compromised rightwing msm. ananda Sep 15 #36
If you're a Democrat, specifically the Democratic candidate for president . . . peggysue2 Sep 15 #37
Listen we DO have work to do but edisdead Sep 15 #39
In sure CNN couched it angrychair Sep 15 #46
Time for another Trump distraction C_U_L8R Sep 15 #52
As many of these reliable polls as there are .. VMA131Marine Sep 15 #53
"...racism is a major factor but for so many???" J_William_Ryan Sep 15 #54
This polling makes me smile LetMyPeopleVote Sep 15 #56
That's very good considering the margin of error is only 2% iemanja Sep 15 #57
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