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Mersky

(5,091 posts)

28. Woah. Nate Silver left 538 in April 2023; joined Thiel's outfit in June '24

Sat Jul 20, 2024, 05:25 AM

Jul 20

I missed this at the time. Will be discussing this with some of my peeps tomorrow.

A Brutal Wonk Swap at FiveThirtyEight
Matt Stieb
MAY 19, 2023

A major election-polling shakeup began three weeks ago, when, as part of Disney’s push to cut 7,000 jobs, ABC News decided not to renew the contract of FiveThirtyEight founder Nate Silver. Though Disney has been cutting costs across the board, this was still an unexpected move: Silver has his critics, but he’s generally considered one of the best minds in election forecasting.

On Friday, the plot thickened. ABC News announced that it had hired pollster G. Elliott Morris to be the editorial director of data analytics, which also oversees the operations of FiveThirtyEight. Morris, a pollster for The Economist, is the young hotshot to the Silver Establishment: While still an undergraduate at the University of Texas, his forecasting models accurately predicted the shape of the 2018 midterms — as did Silver’s. But in the run-up to the 2020 election, Silver and Morris were yelling at each other on Twitter over differences in polling approaches.

-snip-

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/05/fivethirtyeight-hires-g-elliott-morris-loses-nate-silver.html

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This message was self-deleted by its author [View all] Blue Cape Jul 19 OP

Thank you BoRaGard Jul 19 #1

As of today wryter2000 Jul 19 #2

Did you know that Nate Silver hasn't been with 538 since mid 2023? Native Jul 19 #4

Really??? Hmmmmmm a kennedy Jul 19 #5

https://www.natesilver.net/p/why-i-dont-buy-538s-new-election Native Jul 19 #12

He was sent packing when ABC wanted to "cut costs" after the 538 2022 poll failures BumRushDaShow Jul 19 #16

So now he's a Peter-Thiel wholly-owned subsidiary? calimary Jul 19 #23

This message was self-deleted by its author Blue Cape Jul 19 #6

I didn't wryter2000 Jul 19 #22

there have been a couple of posts about it here, but not many Native Jul 19 #26

I've been taking it that way for awhile. ananda Jul 19 #21

Great work exposing this! GoreWon2000 Jul 19 #3

Odd, have been watching Nate for years. Suspiciously. Not surprised. THX for post. nt allegorical oracle Jul 19 #7

Another outsider trying to buy a country WhiteTara Jul 19 #8

Yes ... and it's getting very old. These "outsiders" are/were KPN Jul 19 #10

I said the exact same thing yesterday to a friend mtngirl47 Jul 19 #14

We need to get the word out karin_sj Jul 19 #9

Never thought he was very good when he was with 538. Did not think his results were very accurate. Fla Dem Jul 19 #11

Hmmmm.,,Current 538 polling shows Biden leading? surfered Jul 19 #13

Keith Olbermann had some things to say about nate several months ago. niyad Jul 19 #15

I was getting very skeptical of Nate Silver; not surprised he's ben purchased by right wing money. patphil Jul 19 #17

Very Interesting... Punx Jul 19 #18

People with too much money... 2naSalit Jul 19 #19

Everyone has their price. OMGWTF Jul 19 #20

Boy, no kidding. calimary Jul 19 #24

Reminded me of this - k55f5r Jul 19 #27

Nate Silver Has... GB_RN Jul 19 #25

Woah. Nate Silver left 538 in April 2023; joined Thiel's outfit in June '24 Mersky Jul 20 #28

Thiel made Silver and offer he couldn't refuse. BradBo Jul 20 #29

But, didn't 538 show Biden winning? Baitball Blogger Jul 20 #30

Love it! whathehell Jul 20 #31

Thanks for the info Roc2020 Jul 20 #32

K&R Alice Kramden Jul 20 #33