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Response to n2doc (Original post)

Wed Nov 14, 2012, 12:59 PM

16. That GOP advantage, unfortunately, is sure to change.

Republican control of the House through gerrymandering will have its sociological consequences. It is going to ensure that the little guy continues to get screwed, and that in turn, sadly, is sure to work for Democrats in a very unfortunate way.

As working class jobs are eliminated in Republican-controlled rural communities, those reliably Republican people will gravitate toward higher population areas that offer menial jobs and better services, and they will convert or be canceled out by more sensible voters.

Or, sadly, the more intransigent ones will remain behind, sink into life-threatening poverty, and die sooner than they should.

Meanwhile, better educated people who are adept at technology will spot the virtues of living and working from home in beautiful, underpopulated places with a choice of cheap foreclosed-on properties to acquire. So the movement or death of every Republican may wind up resulting in not only canceling out his own vote, but also creating a likely Democratic vote in that person's place.

Make no mistake that this is a human tragedy of enormous proportions, one foreseen by people on our side since at least the Reagan Era. I think we've already seen evidence of the Great Republican Die-off in this election, where statewide and nationwide races broke Democratic 3 to 1.

What I think that means is that for the next three or four elections, Republicans will be competitive in the House, but their avarice will have literally sucked the life from Republican voters, and the GOP's dried husk will soon be pressed between the pages of the history books. Their policies will begin to homogenize their own districts even before the next census is taken, and that in turn will begin to increase Democratic influence in the state legislatures where the next redistricting will take place. Eventually, all of their rigging will be unable to resist the pressure, and they'll pop like the economic bubbles they so very much love to create.

I know this--or rather, believe this--because I am watching it happen here in the Shenandoah Valley. Rural Republicans are converging on reliably Democratic cities ("cities" in Virginia can be vanishingly small) because they can't afford to drive dozens of miles to buy groceries at the Wal-Mart, or require medical attention, or lost their homes, or have fallen victim to some other conservative policy designed to fuck them.

In the meantime, the number of younger people with disposable income and Paypal credit cards seems to be doubling every month. There is already a massive demographic shift afoot here, and I am certain it is happening everywhere else where Republicans ran rampant, crashed out, and left the people on the ground bereft.

The biggest danger to Republicans is their own un-malleable past, and the consequences of their prior behavior can no longer be averted. But we tried.

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Arrow 30 replies Author Time Post
n2doc Nov 2012 OP
AnnaLee Nov 2012 #1
nc4bo Nov 2012 #3
Mc Mike Nov 2012 #5
Geoff R. Casavant Nov 2012 #12
Mc Mike Nov 2012 #30
12AngryBorneoWildmen Nov 2012 #17
barbtries Nov 2012 #2
geardaddy Nov 2012 #4
kenfrequed Nov 2012 #20
phiddle Nov 2012 #6
young_at_heart Nov 2012 #7
ProfessionalLeftist Nov 2012 #9
FarCenter Nov 2012 #8
marble falls Nov 2012 #10
BlueMan Votes Nov 2012 #11
dotymed Nov 2012 #13
truebluegreen Nov 2012 #26
Major Nikon Nov 2012 #14
dbackjon Nov 2012 #15
LineReply That GOP advantage, unfortunately, is sure to change.
sofa king Nov 2012 #16
FogerRox Nov 2012 #24
Dawgs Nov 2012 #18
reformist2 Nov 2012 #19
librechik Nov 2012 #21
Cleita Nov 2012 #22
Pachamama Nov 2012 #23
truebluegreen Nov 2012 #25
Scurrilous Nov 2012 #27
InsultComicDog Nov 2012 #28
neverforget Nov 2012 #29
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