Lots of good news in new NBC poll

[lees1975]

48. Polls have been all over the place.

I actually heard a pollster admit, on a talk show podcast, that the daily "random" numbers are much more spread out than they've seen in the past, even at this point a year and a half before an election.

Numbers are one thing, the spin some pollsters put in the explanation is another.

A year and a half out, and only half of Republicans are saying they're supporting Trump? I would say that is good news for us, not so much for him. And interesting in this NBC poll, opposite one from Marist, that shows Biden's support among black voters at 89%, among Latinos at 72% and at 56% among independents.

I'm not convinced that Republicans will nominate Trump again. On the surface, and in public, they still have to act like they will, and maybe those in my circle of friends, which includes a couple of nights a week with 10 or 11 people in the club room of the senior condo building where I live, are unanimous in their opposition to his being the nominee. But I think, when it comes down to the primaries, the reason we are hearing all of this "just dispense with the primaries and give it to him" talk is because they know he is not likely to get it in the primaries. And I'm pretty close to betting on that now.