Lots of good news in new NBC poll

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39. I'm certain it won't be anywhere near that close

...likely in the 8-10 point margin we saw in the run up to the last contest between the two, if Trump's the nominee.

If Trump is polling behind now, he's not going to surge ahead with each indictment or revelation. This may be a media horse race, but there isn't anyone who can tell you how he makes up the rest with independents fleeing him, and there are plenty of pollsters know Biden's numbers aren't on a precipice and will improve as the race consolidates, and as Trump racks up more indictments.

This isn't really a contest. It's a republican party in disarray and decline, and a solid Democratic electorate poised to keep Joe Biden in office.

No Lie with Brian Tyler Cohen @NoLieWithBTC
A new poll shows Biden has massive support from many key groups in a matchup against Trump. Women support Biden over Trump 55% to 38%, 18-34 year-olds support Biden 65-30, Latinos support Biden 66-26, and independents support Biden 47-33.