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JackN415

(924 posts)
4. About Nate Silver...
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:07 PM
Oct 2012

May I reprint one of my posts regarding Nate Silver's method and approach?

If Nate Silver stills consider "Gravy fraud" polling as legitimate, he loses credibility with me.


Any scientist must know and take a stand on the source of information or data. He might be political to be inclusive, playing the role of poll statistical meta-analysis, treating all pollsters with equal weight at face value.

But that is wrong at best and dishonest at worst.

It's his job to review the methodology, the data, the credibility of polling firm. Taking information without thorough investigation of the source is absolutely negligent.

Let's us consider an analogy: a medical researcher analyzes research results from other publications about certain thing, like whether red meat might cause colon cancer. The researcher cannot say that I will treat all publications on this subject with equal face value and hence my meta-analysis is this and this, etc.

It is the researcher's responsibility to determine the credibility and validity of the publication to be included in his/her meta-analysis. He/she cannot take a publication from a never-heard-of journal, from authors with dubious credential and say, I will treat this study the same as other.

Nate Silver is very wrong to include Gravy fraud poll firm.
I Thought Nate Rates Polls By How Much They Diverged From Actual Results In The Past DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #1
Not on history, on method cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #2
These days moondust Oct 2012 #3
About Nate Silver... JackN415 Oct 2012 #4
Latest Discussions»General Discussion»Nate Silver vs. Real Clea...»Reply #4