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Tue Jun 15, 2021, 07:32 AM

NYC Mayor: Adams and Garcia neck and neck in latest Manhattan Institute poll [View all]

City Journal

With New York City’s mayoral primary just around the corner, Kathryn Garcia and Maya Wiley are challenging Eric Adams for the top spot, while Andrew Yang is fading from the front rank, according to a June 9–13 poll of likely Democratic primary voters conducted for the Manhattan Institute.*

Adams, the Brooklyn borough president, and former sanitation commissioner Garcia are neck-and-neck as primary voters’ first choice at 21 percent and 20 percent, respectively, with attorney Wiley in third at 18 percent, followed by entrepreneur Yang at 13 percent. All other candidates rank in the single digits on the first-choice ballot. Since our poll of the race in mid-May, Garcia and Wiley have gained the most (nine points and eight points, respectively), while Yang has fallen by six points. The share of undecided primary voters has fallen by five points from mid-May to 9 percent.

On the eleventh round of a recalculated ballot under the ranked-choice system, our analysis finds that Garcia defeats Adams, 52 percent to 48 percent. While Wiley makes it to the next-to-last ballot, her voters preferred Garcia over Adams on the final round. Garcia also bested Adams among white voters on the final ballot by a margin of 44 points.



Every poll has consistently shown Yang's performance dropping; the last two show him falling into 4th place. It appears he never had more than name recognition.

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Reply NYC Mayor: Adams and Garcia neck and neck in latest Manhattan Institute poll [View all]
brooklynite Jun 2021 OP
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