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Response to ProSense (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 08:53 PM

67. 100% of the move in the Pew Poll from Sep--> Oct can be explained by the change in sample.


When the percentage of Dems goes from 39--> 31%, and the percentage of Repubs jumps from 29% --> 36%, that's basically like taking 7% away from Obama and handing it to Romney right there. I'm actually surprised the October results weren't even more pro-Romney. That's not to say one poll is wrong, the other right. But because of the huge swing in voter identification between the two polls, it throws the results of all Pew polling into question.

Also of interest - the sample size for the October poll dropped from 2400 down to 1200. Why?

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ProSense Oct 2012 OP
boxman15 Oct 2012 #1
DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #2
Roselma Oct 2012 #5
Care Acutely Oct 2012 #50
phleshdef Oct 2012 #3
ProSense Oct 2012 #7
Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #4
Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #24
gabeana Oct 2012 #33
Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #65
BeyondGeography Oct 2012 #6
ProSense Oct 2012 #10
Cattledog Oct 2012 #8
ProSense Oct 2012 #12
alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #16
sharp_stick Oct 2012 #41
andym Oct 2012 #35
JaneyVee Oct 2012 #49
Care Acutely Oct 2012 #57
WestWisconsinDem Oct 2012 #68
hrmjustin Oct 2012 #9
ProSense Oct 2012 #17
hrmjustin Oct 2012 #26
nc4bo Oct 2012 #61
boxman15 Oct 2012 #11
cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #13
boxman15 Oct 2012 #19
DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #21
Puddy Oct 2012 #45
ProSense Oct 2012 #46
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DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #20
cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #40
reformist2 Oct 2012 #14
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OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #18
cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #23
OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #30
Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #22
regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #28
Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #32
ProSense Oct 2012 #36
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #37
regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #53
Jennicut Oct 2012 #58
winstars Oct 2012 #60
reformist2 Oct 2012 #25
Mass Oct 2012 #27
DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #34
tallahasseedem Oct 2012 #29
BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #31
andym Oct 2012 #38
7worldtrade Oct 2012 #39
MFM008 Oct 2012 #42
DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #43
ProSense Oct 2012 #44
OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #56
OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #48
cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #52
OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #55
cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #59
OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #66
renate Oct 2012 #64
hifiguy Oct 2012 #51
ProSense Oct 2012 #54
underpants Oct 2012 #62
WI_DEM Oct 2012 #63
LineNew Reply 100% of the move in the Pew Poll from Sep--> Oct can be explained by the change in sample.
reformist2 Oct 2012 #67
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