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ProSense

(116,464 posts) Mon Oct 8, 2012, 04:17 PM Oct 2012

Pew has Romney ahead by 4 points among likely voters, tied among registered voters (updated) [View all]

The gain is almost entirely among white Republicans.

http://www.people-press.org/2012/10/08/romneys-strong-debate-performance-erases-obamas-lead/

Obama lost two points among independents, Romney gained one point.

Obama lost 7 points among blacks, Romney lost 4 points.

Obama gained a point among Democrats, and Romney lost a point.

Obama lost 5 points among Republicans, and Romney gained 3 point.

Updated to add, poll was unskewed:

Current LV

Republican 36 percent
Democrat 31 percent
Independent 30 percent

September LV

Republican 29 percent
Democrat 39 percent
Independent 30 percent

Current RV

Republican 33 percent
Democrat 32 percent
Independent 31 percent

September RV

Republican 28 percent
Democrat 37 percent
Independent 31 percent

http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/10-8-12%20Political%20Release.pdf

68 replies

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Pew has Romney ahead by 4 points among likely voters, tied among registered voters (updated) [View all] ProSense Oct 2012 OP

This message was self-deleted by its author boxman15 Oct 2012 #1

out liner DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #2

I hope so. Gallup has Obama up by 5 today. Roselma Oct 2012 #5

That's "outlier" Care Acutely Oct 2012 #50

I don't believe the African American change is reality. phleshdef Oct 2012 #3

No he lost support, but so did Obama n/t ProSense Oct 2012 #7

this sucks. look at those women numbers. time to show the real romney Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #4

PHEW...they just explained it on MSNBC Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #24

So is this good news for Obama gabeana Oct 2012 #33

lord I hope so. Fallout from debate I think is real to some degree Laura PourMeADrink Oct 2012 #65

88% of the black vote...poll falls apart right there BeyondGeography Oct 2012 #6

It's post-debate high ProSense Oct 2012 #10

Romney the new Reagan? Cattledog Oct 2012 #8

No, he lost a point among Democrats ProSense Oct 2012 #12

Say Reagan again...you haven't quite spammed the entire board with that opinion alcibiades_mystery Oct 2012 #16

We should start a pool sharp_stick Oct 2012 #41

Romney thought this! andym Oct 2012 #35

If Romney is the new Reagan that means he would triple the deficit & size of Govt JaneyVee Oct 2012 #49

Well - just LOOK AT YOU and your Reagan-ness, Reaganocity, whatever. Care Acutely Oct 2012 #57

This message was self-deleted by its author WestWisconsinDem Oct 2012 #68

I think this poll does not make sense. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #9

Evidently, ProSense Oct 2012 #17

Biden will have to kick some but thursday. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #26

Romney? New ideas? gtfoohwtbs. nc4bo Oct 2012 #61

This poll is probably an outlier. So is MSNBC's most likely. boxman15 Oct 2012 #11

Are all the polls outliers? cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #13

No. But it's very hard for me to believe either candidate is up by 4-5 points right now. boxman15 Oct 2012 #19

WRONG Obama is ahead in the latest polls stop spreading the 47 point lie DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #21

I don't understand..... Puddy Oct 2012 #45

Here ya go, Puddy: ProSense Oct 2012 #46

Thanks for the response I will ignore the 3 day poll.... Thanks again! Puddy Oct 2012 #47

There is no TIE Obama is ahead in all polls DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #20

Do you realize what OP you're writing that in? cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #40

How is Obama -6 overall when he's only -2 among independents?? Thse poll numbers are crap. reformist2 Oct 2012 #14

This message was self-deleted by its author cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #15

Hmmm. This poll is based on REGISTERED voters, not LIKELY voters... OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #18

Re-read the chart cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #23

How big was the sample in all categories? nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #30

This poll is through October 7. The job numbers haven't taken affect yet. Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #22

October 7th was YESTERDAY... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #28

Right. That's my point. The job numbers were out Friday. It'll take some time for those job numbers Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #32

You're making good points. ProSense Oct 2012 #36

What Do You Think Of My Conclusion In Post 34? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #37

Semi-agree... regnaD kciN Oct 2012 #53

Only a little over a hundred were done Sunday. Jennicut Oct 2012 #58

Right, HP says 1046 of 1201 interviews taken Thursday-Saturday. Most probably from Thurs and Friday winstars Oct 2012 #60

Here's an explanation: The fraction of independents went from 34% up to 41% between polls. reformist2 Oct 2012 #25

Pew has always been an extremely reactive poll. It was pleasant, but not very realistic, with Obama Mass Oct 2012 #27

I'm Thinking It Caught All Of The Bounce From The Debate For RobMe DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #34

This poll was to be expected... tallahasseedem Oct 2012 #29

"Obama lost 5 points among Republicans, and Romney gained 3 point." BumRushDaShow Oct 2012 #31

Let's hope the bounce is transient. nt. andym Oct 2012 #38

Its consistent with 3 strong polling days for Romney after the debates 7worldtrade Oct 2012 #39

this makes me sad MFM008 Oct 2012 #42

Looks like the doom and gloomers finally have their thread DisabledAmerican Oct 2012 #43

Let them keep pushing this poll. ProSense Oct 2012 #44

Bingo. nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #56

Some background on Pew.... OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #48

This is seriously foolish cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #52

1. Because I don't believe I was on the board yet.... OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #55

No, I do not have to respect you at all cthulu2016 Oct 2012 #59

Well, if you're going to act like a spoiled two-year-old, I'll just treat you like one. nt. OldDem2012 Oct 2012 #66

I do! renate Oct 2012 #64

Repeat after me: National polls are meaningless. hifiguy Oct 2012 #51

They are what they are. n/t ProSense Oct 2012 #54

Obama had 13% support from Republicans??? underpants Oct 2012 #62

bottom line is we got to GOTV WI_DEM Oct 2012 #63

100% of the move in the Pew Poll from Sep--> Oct can be explained by the change in sample. reformist2 Oct 2012 #67