General Discussion

paleotn

(18,883 posts)

30. And pollsters would be the first to say...

Tue Dec 22, 2020, 01:00 PM

Dec 2020

they're wrong....if they're honest, anyway. The question isn't if they're wrong or not, it's how wrong are they and why. So many things can go wrong, from not guessing which segments will actually show up at the polls in large numbers to just randomness in sampling. Humans don't act with the precision and consistency of Newtonian mechanics, so some would say it's foolish to expect any reasonable amount of certainty in applying mathematics to human behavior. But some brave souls still try.

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Democrats Lead In Georgia Senate Races [View all] babylonsister Dec 2020 OP

I have no trust in polling bottomofthehill Dec 2020 #1

Nor do I. Karma13612 Dec 2020 #3

"Only $600" is damn powerful meme too. It resonates really good with The Sixpack's. Tommymac Dec 2020 #17

Democrats should campaign on "elect us and get another $600 at least" LiberalLovinLug Dec 2020 #32

"Messaging is everything!!!!" YUP. And we are not good at it. HUAJIAO Dec 2020 #39

Yes, there never seems to be an established formula for getting an accurate pulse of the average... dubyadiprecession Dec 2020 #4

Polling is just a forecast Dopers_Greed Dec 2020 #36

The bright spot is that Georgia polling for November's election turned out to be pretty accurate Tom Rinaldo Dec 2020 #5

I expect the GOP to win both seats. BannonsLiver Dec 2020 #21

"Win" AllyCat Dec 2020 #23

Come out on top, secure the seats, ring the bell, get the W BannonsLiver Dec 2020 #24

Yup. They managed to take Senate seats I thought for sure AllyCat Dec 2020 #25

And pollsters would be the first to say... paleotn Dec 2020 #30

Nope...don't believe any polling BS and keep donating and fighting for those two seats Bengus81 Dec 2020 #40

Yeah musclecar6 Dec 2020 #2

The Trump/Kemp feud will suppress Republican turnout. yellowcanine Dec 2020 #6

worthless. All we know, who's GOTV efforts are better will win beachbumbob Dec 2020 #7

You can donate here for Dem Georgia GOTV: mucifer Dec 2020 #12

Thank you, just donated! ananda Dec 2020 #19

I listen to Al's podcast every week.. mountain grammy Dec 2020 #20

Thank you -- just listened to this one this morning. klook Dec 2020 #26

I do not trust Gov. Kemp . . . Iliyah Dec 2020 #8

I don't either, but he's not the SoS anymore. MoonRiver Dec 2020 #9

Unfortunately I don't believe it. Vote! nt helpisontheway Dec 2020 #10

We're still doing the polling thing? greenjar_01 Dec 2020 #11

Yeah Johnny2X2X Dec 2020 #13

Great news, but... GoCubsGo Dec 2020 #14

Polls face methodology problems bucolic_frolic Dec 2020 #15

Keep showing those ads of Loefflers and Perdue's mega mansions kimbutgar Dec 2020 #16

Forget Christmas! I'll take a dem win in GA any day Thekaspervote Dec 2020 #18

Within several different scenarious, having the D candidates doing this well would be an achievement BobTheSubgenius Dec 2020 #22

Please Good People of Georgia! Yeehah Dec 2020 #27

I've donated a couple times already from my recliner in Captain Zero Dec 2020 #28

Fuck polling vercetti2021 Dec 2020 #29

The polls keep swinging wildly. Last week's polling was different. Turnout is all that matters. nt Blasphemer Dec 2020 #31

I have been phone banking for Georgia yellowdogintexas Dec 2020 #33

+1000 mtnsnake Dec 2020 #35

Take nothing for granted. GOTV BlueWavePsych Dec 2020 #34

Polls??? Skeptical Thomas Dec 2020 #37

Which means we are losing and need to try harder quakerboy Dec 2020 #38

What's with all the undecided??? marble falls Dec 2020 #41

Which means the Ds have to win by a large margin to squeek out victories. Botany Dec 2020 #42