General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: Nate Silver has Florida at a 69.4 chance of an Obama Win [View all]Jennicut
(25,415 posts)But probably much less in Florida. No other swing state has a voter ID law like this.
"The vast majority of adults do have some sort of identification.
Many people who do not have identification are not registered to vote or if they are registered, they are unlikely to turn out.
The laws may be inconsistently enforced by thousands and thousands of poll workers at the precinct level.
In many cases, voters without proper identification can cast a provisional ballot, which could eventually be counted in the event of a vote-counting dispute.
The campaigns have an opportunity to educate their voters about ID requirements as part of their turnout operations."
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/07/15/measuring-the-effects-of-voter-identification-laws/