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In reply to the discussion: Prediction: Biden wins by a lot more than people are expecting [View all]moose65
(3,166 posts)44. I agree
We tend to forget just how close the election was in 2016 (yes, I know Hillary won the popular vote). Trump won by 11,000 votes in Michigan, 22,000 in Wisconsin, and 44,000 in Pennsylvania. If Biden wins all of Hillarys states and takes back those three, he wins. I think Pennsylvania and Michigan have already swung back. Wisconsin is a tougher nut to crack, but Biden has other paths through Arizona and NC. I dont realistically see Trump picking up any state he didnt win in 2016.
2016 was a perfect storm of Russian interference, Comeys late announcement of yet another email scandal and 25 years of Republicans demonizing Hillary. None of that applies this time. Plus, people have now seen 4 years of Trumps performance as President.
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Agreed. I like your analysis, especially about the money. Nobody is backing Trump with $$$. nt
Progressive Jones
Oct 2020
#4
What I find funny is that Trump's base doesn't believe the polls because of last time and so they
Quixote1818
Oct 2020
#24
The prediction below was made Sat, April 11.this year..It says Trump will lose "ALL ELECTORAL VOTES"
Stuart G
Oct 2020
#27
I like your#7. One analyst said that it's the down ballot that reveals everything.
Karadeniz
Oct 2020
#34
I think Trump's approval rating for the past four years has remained fairly steady
Mr. Ected
Oct 2020
#40
You Could Very Well be Right. Two Big Things That the Dems Got Wrong in 2016 Were:
panfluteman
Oct 2020
#46