Exactly, it's the conventional wisdom of white guys. (Reply #48)

In the discussion thread: Biden is tanking in the betting markets. [View all]

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #34)

Mon Aug 31, 2020, 12:59 AM

radius777 (3,406 posts)

48. Exactly, it's the conventional wisdom of white guys.

Some of which is based on hard data, other is based on worldview. White guys overwhelmingly hold an anti-Dem (or Dem paranoia) worldview which is reflected in the markets.

In 2016 Hillary was up to 86 cents on the day before election day. White guys have deep fear of Hillary and always think she can magically be president at any moment. Many still think she will be 'inserted' as president if Biden wins.

This year, Susan Rice was up to 65 cents on the day Harris was chosen. Rice has long been feared by white guys as 'another Hillary'.

The riots are not having the impact white guys think it will. Most voters outside of white guy world know Trump is divisive and destructive, and are not going to blame the calm/steady Biden - he's not the president, Trump is.

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54 replies	Author	Time	Post
Biden is tanking in the betting markets. [View all]	Drunken Irishman	Aug 2020	OP
they just had a convention	bigtree	Aug 2020	#1
Also for PtedictIt you have RNC markets paying out, and pro Trump money being rolled over	Amishman	Aug 2020	#19
What's the motivation in posting this here? n/t	Judi Lynn	Aug 2020	#2
the two top posts on the thread just now...	bigtree	Aug 2020	#4
Same as the motive when I posted he had surged a few weeks ago.	Drunken Irishman	Aug 2020	#24
Betting going to determine this?	vercetti2021	Aug 2020	#3
Donrsife is out with polls already for today showing Biden above double digits.	RDANGELO	Aug 2020	#5
A six point drop is "tanking"?	blogslut	Aug 2020	#6
Yes. Biden went from +21 to +8 in a matter of days. That's pretty significant.	Drunken Irishman	Aug 2020	#23
60 to 54 is not much of anything	Awsi Dooger	Aug 2020	#33
Wasn't Hillary like -800 on the day of the election?	DemocratSinceBirth	Aug 2020	#34
Well, to be blunt, Hillary did win.	triron	Aug 2020	#40
Lol, what??	PTWB	Aug 2020	#43
The MMA fighter had a boxing style	JonLP24	Aug 2020	#44
Exactly, it's the conventional wisdom of white guys.	radius777	Aug 2020	#48
They're factoring in that Trump is a Cult Leader	Tiger8	Aug 2020	#7
Russian money changing the odds?	MacKasey	Aug 2020	#8
Yup. Trump's entire convention focus was the protesting,	R B Garr	Aug 2020	#9
I seem to remember a post here stating Trump supporters were putting a lot of cash	shrike3	Aug 2020	#10
Republicans - and especially Trump - juice EVERYTHING for perception purposes.	NCDem47	Aug 2020	#13
Thanks, I was wondering about that.	shrike3	Aug 2020	#30
Your "concern" is noted.	LW1977	Aug 2020	#11
Thank you for noting it.	Drunken Irishman	Aug 2020	#25
Michael Moore, is that you?	PubliusEnigma	Aug 2020	#12
Just saw his post today that all the MI	marlakay	Aug 2020	#17
No. One poll from MI has Trump up two & it's a GOP pollster.	Drunken Irishman	Aug 2020	#27
Mike needs to stop the fear stuff then	marlakay	Aug 2020	#32
Biden will not lose MI or PA.	radius777	Aug 2020	#49
A real Democrat knows how to spell malarkey.	PubliusEnigma	Aug 2020	#54
If you're not concerned	oswaldactedalone	Aug 2020	#14
Police budgets have exploded since the 70s	JonLP24	Aug 2020	#45
PUtin's dumping a bunch of money to depress Biden's favorability.	lark	Aug 2020	#15
I have been following the betting lines since last year	Apollo Zeus	Aug 2020	#16
I don't know anything about advertising lingo but...	jcgoldie	Aug 2020	#18
What are the 3 and 4-word versions of the Dem platform?	Apollo Zeus	Aug 2020	#20
Good points but your premise is wrong.	grantcart	Aug 2020	#29
"turn out" is closing the deal	Apollo Zeus	Aug 2020	#31
I do agree Dems have a messaging problem	cally	Aug 2020	#39
What about these?	misanthrope	Aug 2020	#41
GOP playbook same as always: exploit white fear.	radius777	Aug 2020	#50
And Ronda Rousey was supposed to smash Holly Holm as per betting lines	obamanut2012	Aug 2020	#21
Biden tanked fairly often in the betting markets during the primary race, too. The betting	highplainsdem	Aug 2020	#22
Yes the betting markets could be wrong.	Drunken Irishman	Aug 2020	#26
He tanked when he was tanking	JonLP24	Aug 2020	#47
One heavy better $200,000 type bets can shift the point margin.	sarcasmo	Aug 2020	#28
...	demmiblue	Aug 2020	#35
Them that haven't lost all their money in bitcoin banking scams and dark markets.	hunter	Aug 2020	#36
I suspect your average bettor is a fifty year old white guy.	DemocratSinceBirth	Aug 2020	#37
They factor in Trump fraud	budkin	Aug 2020	#38
Excellent point n/t	moonscape	Aug 2020	#42
I watched a video explaining this. Bettors are short selling Trump.	WonderGrunion	Aug 2020	#46
Post on the Fox News stories on their website! tell your friends!	foxtruth	Aug 2020	#51
welcome to DU	Kali	Aug 2020	#52
Here's how gambling of this sort works	Willto	Aug 2020	#53

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