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qazplm135

(7,447 posts)

1. It's gone from 40-41 percent approval

Reply to Happy Hoosier (Original post)

Mon Aug 3, 2020, 10:26 AM

Aug 2020

Not sure that means anything.

If the average lead drops down to 3-4 percent or Trump's avg lead in BG states re-emerges ok then worry. Til then hyper focus on polling this far out is of limited utility.

October polls are what matter more, that's when early voting is in full force everywhere and people are really paying attention.

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So both Fivethirtyeight and RCP are showing "tightening" .... [View all] Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 OP

It's gone from 40-41 percent approval qazplm135 Aug 2020 #1

The movement is likely tied to Rasmussen, which has Trump at 51%. Drunken Irishman Aug 2020 #6

Assmuffin is always an outlier. I ignore them. lagomorph777 Aug 2020 #25

........................... still_one Aug 2020 #2

Just went to their site and I don't really see that safeinOhio Aug 2020 #3

Yep. Biden up +8.3 in national poll average. dchill Aug 2020 #14

"Maybe a useless worry post" marmar Aug 2020 #4

Yeah, I think you are right. Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #9

Now you don't have to worry alone Cirque du So-What Aug 2020 #18

lmao I'm out of this is what it's going to be like the next three months. Drunken Irishman Aug 2020 #5

Agreed Dem2 Aug 2020 #8

Good advice! Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #11

I know just how you feel! FM123 Aug 2020 #21

This message was self-deleted by its author unc70 Aug 2020 #7

Possibly a shift from RV polls to LV polls? Fiendish Thingy Aug 2020 #10

Yes, that's it. I've been watching for that shift. writes3000 Aug 2020 #12

Not that much tightening - OhZone Aug 2020 #13

I get your point... but.... Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #24

Rump just started lower in 2016 - OhZone Aug 2020 #28

Most people know only what any president tells them. patricia92243 Aug 2020 #15

portland and other protests not going over well Amishman Aug 2020 #16

The only thing tightening MoonlitKnight Aug 2020 #17

Yes. I noticed that in 538 too because I check it obsessively. Hopefully it's just noise but Squinch Aug 2020 #19

I'm not a professional pollster or poll historian, NCDem47 Aug 2020 #20

They're gonna get even tighter. Relax. tman Aug 2020 #22

Great links so we know what you are referring to grantcart Aug 2020 #23

Thought these were commonly known. Happy Hoosier Aug 2020 #26

While it's hard to fathom Trump's work the past few months making people like him *more*, Music Man Aug 2020 #27

useless worry post obamanut2012 Aug 2020 #29