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pnwmom

(108,976 posts)

20. If it's a likely voters poll, it deliberately undercounts Obama supporters

Tue Sep 18, 2012, 01:56 PM

Sep 2012

who didn't turn out to vote in 2010. The assumption is that if you didn't vote then you are less likely to vote now.

That computer model won't work very well this time around.

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WTF, Gallup Obama 47, Romney 46! This after Libya??? [View all] Logical Sep 2012 OP

GRRRR.... madaboutharry Sep 2012 #1

It's One Tracking Poll. Don't Freak Out. Look At The Average. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #2

Rasmussen and Gallup have Romney ahead... liberallibral Sep 2012 #3

No. Gallup Has Obama Ahead. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #6

Romney is not ahead on Gallup, he is a point behind. Jennicut Sep 2012 #7

From Todd's Comments I Expect The Presiden't Lead To Be Between 5-7% DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #11

Me too. Jennicut Sep 2012 #15

He Was Up By Four In Their Last Poll. I Took Away He's Now Up Even More DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #18

How about providing a link to these results? DonViejo Sep 2012 #4

I am not the OP but here is a link. former9thward Sep 2012 #26

Polls Rider3 Sep 2012 #5

You also have to take in account who is polled and methods used. Ras and Gallup tend alfredo Sep 2012 #54

I Know The OP Is Not A Troll But This Thread Is Like Flypaper To Them. DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #8

so we should only post polls we like? cali Sep 2012 #44

This shouldn't be surprising. Unrest and instability in the Middle East is blamed on Obama. Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #9

It Is Surprising And Gallup Is 2% Lower Than The RCP Poll Average DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #13

Pew: Americans React Negatively To Romney’s MidEast Response ProSense Sep 2012 #17

Why can't both be tha case: while Americans Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #34

See, this is the problem ProSense Sep 2012 #36

I understand what you're saying and see your point. I just don't believe that the facts matter. Liberal_Stalwart71 Sep 2012 #65

yeah, I think you are right. DCBob Sep 2012 #49

This is why they include a margin of error. Barack_America Sep 2012 #10

I agree but also consider "weekend effect" CreekDog Sep 2012 #12

Obama will be well ahead by November. sufrommich Sep 2012 #14

Good! Stay Hungry My Friends... KharmaTrain Sep 2012 #16

But The EC Follows The Pop Vote DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #19

The EC is 50 Separate Elections... KharmaTrain Sep 2012 #21

Gore Won The Pop Vote By .05% DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #24

Imagine The Mayhem... KharmaTrain Sep 2012 #35

If it's a likely voters poll, it deliberately undercounts Obama supporters pnwmom Sep 2012 #20

It is registered voters. former9thward Sep 2012 #25

The polls are just as corrupt as the corporate media RepublicansRZombies Sep 2012 #22

Calm down gcomeau Sep 2012 #23

Too Many Nervous Nellies DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #27

Rasmus and Gallup are both outliers - GOP push polls. Not that close, but Libya hurt leveymg Sep 2012 #28

I Tend To Agree That Mayhem In The M E Doesn't Help The Pres DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #29

I'm not sure its really registering until now what the hell's going on. But, it isn't good . . . leveymg Sep 2012 #31

Just As An Observer The Optics Are Bad DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #33

And Romney's horribly inaccurate shoot before he aims comments didn't hurt him, too? Zalatix Sep 2012 #59

I think Obama is definitely up, especially where it counts, and he'll win, but Arugula Latte Sep 2012 #30

The vast majority of people don't pay attention to politics. RedStateLiberal Sep 2012 #32

Look at Chuck Todd and the other MSM apologists. ProSense Sep 2012 #37

here's the deal (since you asked)... WooWooWoo Sep 2012 #38

That's Incorrect DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #52

Gallup is a republican polling company just1voice Sep 2012 #39

no, it's a tracking poll and they fluctuate. Did you call it a GOP firm when Obama was 7 points WI_DEM Sep 2012 #48

Yes it is a tracking poll and with everythingnthatnhas happened since the convention it doesn't say still_one Sep 2012 #53

No its not.....don't be like the GOP and call all polls you don't like suspect Joe the Revelator Sep 2012 #62

maybe RainbowOverTexas Sep 2012 #40

Obama is up against roughly the same economic conditions in place that UTTERLY sank Jimmy Carter Zalatix Sep 2012 #41

/\ This /\ renie408 Sep 2012 #42

There Was Seventeen Percent Inflation During Carter's Term Which Affected Everyone DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #43

spot on. cali Sep 2012 #45

Obviously you weren't alive under Carter because things are much different today WI_DEM Sep 2012 #47

The Pubbies Are Pushing That Narrative Hard DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #50

So why isn't Obama leaving Rmoney in the dust? Zalatix Sep 2012 #58

what? RainbowOverTexas Sep 2012 #67

Why not get a grip!? Jesus Christ it's a tracking poll those will be up and down WI_DEM Sep 2012 #46

The country is made up of a large segment of racists. I can only say if those jack asseselects still_one Sep 2012 #51

tracking polls always fluctuate--they did in 2008, too. WI_DEM Sep 2012 #55

I don't argue that, but other polls are seem to be trending toward even also still_one Sep 2012 #56

which ones? WI_DEM Sep 2012 #60

I had thought I heard it on Bloomberg, but looking at the results it looks like your assessment is still_one Sep 2012 #68

These Cassandras Are Killing My Buzz. I'm logging off DemocratSinceBirth Sep 2012 #57

I hear you. WI_DEM Sep 2012 #61

Really? I never follow polls because the make me twitchy. I thought Obama had Butterbean Sep 2012 #63

Poll close BlueinOhio Sep 2012 #64

Just remember, national polls mean nothing SickOfTheOnePct Sep 2012 #66