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Response to global1 (Original post)

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 01:02 PM

5. You'd probably have to assign a value to each encounter, and figure out how many encounters

with other people this hypothetical person is having, and then look at the region and see what the infection rate is. But there are all sorts of unknowns. But it seems to me like risk rises with the number of close encounters (within six feet) and I wouldn't even know how to factor in the airborne component. Is the person mostly inside or outside, riding trains or jogging alone on the beach.

It's an interesting question. I don't even think we know what the infection rates are in most states due to lack of testing. So it would be impossible to say "X people are infected for every Y people who aren't infected." Not every person, obviously, you encounter is infected, but that number is rising every single day. So it becomes more risky with time elapsed.

The people dying today might have been infected three weeks ago and felt great until five or seven days ago.

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Arrow 32 replies Author Time Post
global1 Mar 2020 OP
Lars39 Mar 2020 #1
yonder Mar 2020 #6
LuckyCharms Mar 2020 #2
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #10
uponit7771 Mar 2020 #11
dewsgirl Mar 2020 #27
crickets Mar 2020 #28
genxlib Mar 2020 #3
The Magistrate Mar 2020 #17
Demonaut Mar 2020 #4
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #12
LineReply You'd probably have to assign a value to each encounter, and figure out how many encounters
Mike 03 Mar 2020 #5
msongs Mar 2020 #7
GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #8
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #13
GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #19
Brainfodder Mar 2020 #9
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #15
jimfields33 Mar 2020 #14
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #16
jimfields33 Mar 2020 #18
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #20
jimfields33 Mar 2020 #22
lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #31
Demonaut Mar 2020 #21
jimfields33 Mar 2020 #23
Demonaut Mar 2020 #24
jimfields33 Mar 2020 #25
Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #32
WhiteTara Mar 2020 #26
tazkcmo Mar 2020 #29
crickets Mar 2020 #30
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