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Dennis Donovan

(18,770 posts)
Tue Mar 10, 2020, 01:16 PM Mar 2020

Rachel Maddow: "If you read one thing today, read this": 👀 [View all]



Rachel Maddow MSNBC ✔@maddow

If you read one thing today, read this:

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/coronavirus-cancel-everything/607675/
Cancel Everything
Social distancing is the only way to stop the coronavirus. We must start immediately.


10:32 AM - Mar 10, 2020


https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/03/coronavirus-cancel-everything/607675/

Cancel Everything
Social distancing is the only way to stop the coronavirus. We must start immediately.


We don’t yet know the full ramifications of the novel coronavirus. But three crucial facts have become clear in the first months of this extraordinary global event. And what they add up to is not an invocation to stay calm, as so many politicians around the globe are incessantly suggesting; it is, on the contrary, the case for changing our behavior in radical ways—right now.

The first fact is that, at least in the initial stages, documented cases of COVID-19 seem to increase in exponential fashion. On the 23rd of January, China’s Hubei province, which contains the city of Wuhan, had 444 confirmed COVID-19 cases. A week later, by the 30th of January, it had 4,903 cases. Another week later, by the 6th of February, it had 22,112.

The same story is now playing out in other countries around the world. Italy had 62 identified cases of COVID-19 on the 22nd of February. It had 888 cases by the 29th of February, and 4,636 by the 6th of March.

Because the United States has been extremely sluggish in testing patients for the coronavirus, the official tally of 604 likely represents a fraction of the real case load. But even if we take this number at face value, it suggests that we should prepare to have up to 10 times as many cases a week from today, and up to 100 times as many cases two weeks from today.

</snip>


38 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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I'd love to, but I'm a medical provider. Unless I'm sick, I have to show up for those who are. Aristus Mar 2020 #1
Thanks to all providers. I'll do my best safeinOhio Mar 2020 #4
They're referring to events like concerts, conventions, anything where attendance isn't mandatory Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #5
I'm working from home starting tomorrow. lagomorph777 Mar 2020 #12
Actually, the author of the article, a Johns Hopkins prof, Is referring to other things MarcA Mar 2020 #27
Basically, what can be done from home, do it from home Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #28
It's for people like you that the rest of us should have been tested and isolated. Hermit-The-Prog Mar 2020 #14
You should also be provided with PPE, but of course there aren't enough to go around, tblue37 Mar 2020 #15
Nope. Got plenty. Aristus Mar 2020 #18
Glad to hear that! nt tblue37 Mar 2020 #19
It's not going to be stopped. coti Mar 2020 #2
It's not about stopping it; it's about mitigation Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #3
"Mitigation" in what sense? What I mean by "it's not going to be stopped" coti Mar 2020 #6
Mitigation is to keep hospitals from being overrun like in Italy right now. Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #7
+1. nt tblue37 Mar 2020 #16
If you can at all slow the rate of transmission, it helps alleviate the strain on the system. Pacifist Patriot Mar 2020 #17
I think you have to consider exactly what measures are being proposed, coti Mar 2020 #21
for the 90% who present as a cold, that will be fine Tumbulu Mar 2020 #29
But it can be slowed. Ms. Toad Mar 2020 #34
Ok, now I'm worried... BadGimp Mar 2020 #8
Money is not more important than protecting life. we can do it Mar 2020 #30
Not to make you feel worse, but near-definite reality is that there is no "if," unfortunately. JudyM Mar 2020 #37
The lag in testing Pantagruel Mar 2020 #9
If it's an overreaction, the experts agree with overreacting. Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #10
Reasonable precautions, of course Pantagruel Mar 2020 #11
Part of your post could lead to Medicare For All. CaptYossarian Mar 2020 #13
Agreed. Proceed with reasoned caution. MarcA Mar 2020 #23
Guess that'd be one way of getting rid of the old Duppers Mar 2020 #38
Quick math quiz: world wide wally Mar 2020 #20
About six weeks coti Mar 2020 #22
But once it hits "half" the population, the next step is all of them world wide wally Mar 2020 #24
Why are Italian death rates so much higher? bucolic_frolic Mar 2020 #25
Smoking is more prevalent there than here? Dennis Donovan Mar 2020 #26
Italy has the second highest average age of any country... Pacifist Patriot Mar 2020 #31
Age. Italy has one of the oldest populations in the world. cwydro Mar 2020 #33
They probably are healthy, which is why they are making it to the ripe old age. LisaL Mar 2020 #35
Yes, spot on. cwydro Mar 2020 #36
I'm retired, lucky enough to not have to work. cwydro Mar 2020 #32
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