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Response to spanone (Original post)

Wed Aug 14, 2019, 10:12 AM

4. Bonds 2 year vs 10 year yields

Long term bonds have had a lower yield than shot terms for a while, that's the yield curve inversion you've been hearing about. But this was that 10 year bonds fell below 2 year bonds for yield. Hasn't happened since 2007 and has correctly predicted every recession in the last 45 years.

Basically, we're going to have a recession, period.

What it has predicted in the past though is that the recession is on average 22 months way, so this means a 2021 recession if taken alone. But it can;t be taken alone, there have been other signs of a recession that lead experts to believe one is coming in 2020, perhaps even early 2020.

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spanone Aug 14 OP
CanonRay Aug 14 #1
dchill Aug 14 #2
uponit7771 Aug 14 #5
empedocles Aug 14 #6
empedocles Aug 14 #3
LineReply Bonds 2 year vs 10 year yields
Johnny2X2X Aug 14 #4
CanonRay Aug 14 #9
Johnny2X2X Aug 14 #12
Takket Aug 14 #7
sandensea Aug 14 #8
spanone Aug 14 #10
malaise Aug 14 #11
spanone Aug 14 #13
malaise Aug 14 #14
malaise Aug 14 #15
spanone Aug 14 #16
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spanone Aug 14 #18
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lame54 Aug 14 #21
spanone Aug 14 #22
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