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Fri Jul 19, 2019, 10:31 PM

Just a heads up, Trump is potentially solid in the EC. [View all]

Let's be smart here and not assume again everyone everywhere thinks like we do, please?

Register voters and work your butts off, I beg you all. For all of us, for our democracy, for our freedoms we've all enjoyed. FIGHT! fight like we're about to lose everything, because we very well might.

Trumpís Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign

President Trumpís approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak.

His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis of election results and polling data.

That persistent edge leaves him closer to re-election than one would think based on national polls, and it might blunt any electoral cost of actions like his recent tweets attacking four minority congresswomen.

For now, the mostly white working-class Rust Belt states, decisive in the 2016 election, remain at the center of the electoral map, based on our estimates. The Democrats have few obviously promising alternative paths to win without these battleground states. The presidentís approval ratings remain higher in the Sun Belt battlegrounds than in the Rust Belt, despite Democratic hopes of a breakthrough.
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The presidentís views on immigration and trade play relatively well in the Northern battlegrounds, including among the pivotal Obama-Trump voters.

There are signs that some of these voters have soured on his presidency, based on recent polling. There is also reason to think that white working-class voters who supported Mr. Trump were relatively likely to stay home in last Novemberís midterm elections.

A strategy rooted in racial polarization could at once energize parts of the presidentís base and rebuild support among wavering white working-class voters. Many of these voters backed Mr. Trump in the first place in part because of his views on hot-button issues, including on immigration and race.

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/07/19/upshot/trump-electoral-college-edge-.html?action=click&module=Top%20Stories&pgtype=Homepage


We need to be laser focused here. Please, I'm imploring of you all.

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Reply Just a heads up, Trump is potentially solid in the EC. [View all]
herding cats Jul 2019 OP
RDANGELO Jul 2019 #1
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