My two very dear friends, both Republicans,

[Nonlinear]

64. There seems to be some pessimism

About whether or not your friends will change their voting habits based on their realization that President Trump is scary bad at the job.

As a veteran of 44 years in politics in which I have campaigned for and managed the campaigns of many hopeless cause politicians I can assure you that a) miracles do happen, b) you never know how people are going to vote, and c) the secret is to change one mind at a time until you hit a tipping point.

As a teenager I door knocked for this ferocious young politician named Peter Lougheed. This was in Alberta. He was running to be Premier of the province. The Social Credit Party had been the Government for more than 40 years. Lougheed and his Conservatives (politically like Moderate Democrats) weren't even in third place. We were a distance 4th at 7% in the polls. Right up to the night before the election it was obviously a lost cause.

But door knocking you could feel the momentum shifting. We talked to lots of people like your friends but the polls never moved. It was demoralizing but Peter kept rallying us and we kept running the ground game.

Peter Lougheed and his Conservatives won a massive victory. Close to 100% of the seats in the Legislative Assembly and more than 70% of the popular vote. The Social Credit limped along for a fewer more years and then vanished into the mists of time.

Every time since when one of my lost cause candidates has won an election I have known they would in advance because people like your friends "woke" in my presence.

I am hearing from lots of Trump voters about how much they regret their vote and plenty of people who didn't vote who now realize that was a terrible mistake.

The wave in 2018 was only the beginning. If Republicans don't change strategies soon they will join the Social Credit and your Whigs in the dustbin of history. You can feel it coming.