May 31, 2022

More on US MLRS systems to Ukraine:

https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1531521240720150529

Ukraine already has a Russian designed MLRS system capable of firing 40 miles. It is supplied by eastern NATO countries. Being russian it is inaccurate and takes 45 minutes to load by hand.
The US systems are highly accurate and are autoloaded in 5 minutes. They will make a big difference when they arrive.

May 30, 2022

Biden rules out giving rocket systems that can strike into russia

https://www.forbes.com/sites/joewalsh/2022/05/30/biden-rules-out-giving-ukraine-rockets-that-can-strike-into-russia/

TOPLINE The United States will not send the Ukrainian military rocket systems that can reach targets inside Russia, President Joe Biden said Monday, as Ukraine asks U.S. officials for long-range rockets to aid in its fight against Russian forces in the country’s east.
U.S. And Philippine Troops At The Balikatan War Games
A U.S.-made HIMARS on static display during live[+]GETTY IMAGES
KEY FACTS
When asked outside the White House whether the United States plans to ship long-range rocket systems to Ukraine, Biden told reporters: “We are not going to send to Ukraine rocket systems that can strike into Russia.”

May 30, 2022

A couple of threads on those MLRS rocket systems.

What have we been waiting for? Let's win the war!

https://twitter.com/noclador/status/1531067601006301184

A thread within a thread.

May 30, 2022

Good map of Ukraine's advance in the Kherson region.

This is from yesterday. Before the advance there was no bulge.. There are some reports, unconfirmed, that Snihuvrika has been captured too, or perhaps besieged.

https://twitter.com/mhmck/status/1531092297391255554

May 30, 2022

This is what the Ukraine General Staff tweeted today

https://twitter.com/GeneralStaffUA/status/1530803730576289793


It means: Kherson hold on, we're close!


The Ukraine offensive in the south near Kherson is for real.

May 29, 2022

Got tickets to Top Gun tomorrow. The reviews seem to be

Very positive and I just heard the box office returns so far on NPR. It's a mega hit.
I can't do spoilers since I haven't seen it but my guess is Tom Cruise wins.

May 29, 2022

A proposal for the Kherson offensive.

I don't know who Def Mon is but I know he speaks russian, is intimately familiar with Ukraine geography village by village and is followed by most of the experts I follow. His specialty seems to be following Russian social media to be able to determine where exactly battle lines are. Oh, and he hates the russians. Ex-military I assume.
Anyway, as far as I can figure, Ukraine's current offensive is an attempt to encircle russian troops north of the Dneiper River, just as he proposed. The Russians emptied out south Ukraine to re-enforce their failing Donbas offensive. So fingers crossed for what Ukraine is doing. When an army collapses it often happens quite rapidly. Just reading Marc Bloch's Strange Defeat on the fall of France in 1940.

https://twitter.com/DefMon3/status/1508161601546899459


And a little more good news this weekend. The Russian Popasna advance is starting to retreat.

https://twitter.com/serhey_hayday/status/1530881378950205441

May 29, 2022

The Daily Patron

https://twitter.com/PatronDsns/status/1530804519063412736

May 29, 2022

The party of Abraham Lincoln this ain't.

https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1530916002317352962

May 29, 2022

Update on the Donbas by Prof. Phillips P. OBrien

A longish thread just published. I'm inclined to agree with the Professor and the latest report last night by the Institute for the Study of War that the Russian offensive in the Donbas is stalled everywhere but the city of Severodonetsk and will soon come to an end.


https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1530828710953336834


Meanwhile near Kherson the Ukraine General Staff has confirmed that they are on the offensive and engaged in fighting near a village called I believe Kostromka which means they have advanced since yesterday.