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WarGamer

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Name: J
Gender: Male
Hometown: SoCal
Home country: USA
Current location: Socal
Member since: Mon Feb 1, 2021, 09:27 PM
Number of posts: 6,786

Journal Archives

University of Oregon acts quickly re: "F*CK MORMONS" chant at football game.

Some parents missed the whole "Don't let your kids grow up to be assholes" thing...



https://twitter.com/uoregon/status/1571550104993275904

https://twitter.com/OregonPitCrew/status/1571334768557694976

https://twitter.com/SpencerJCox/status/1571311359954132993

Does it feel like prices of groceries are skyrocketing??

That's because they are... an unheard of rise in grocery costs. More than a decade worth of increases in 2 years.

The current strategy at the Fed is to hobble the economy so much that people buy fewer groceries and thus, prices will drop... (only partially joking)


(EDIT)Stock Market tanks, DOW -1300... Inflation report comes in hot...

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-live-updates-september-13-2022-090235060.html




U.S. stocks nosedived Tuesday after a surprising inflation report showed prices rose more than expected last month.

Technology stocks led the way down, with the Nasdaq Composite plunging 4%. The S&P 500 sank 3%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average erased 870 points, or 2.7%.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August early Tuesday, which showed prices rose 8.3% over the prior year and 0.1% over the prior month. Economists had expected an 8.1% increase in inflation over last year and a decline of 0.1% over the prior month.

Russian Military Doctrine and why Ukraine in the 21st Century is different.

What has been will be again, what has been done will be done again; there is nothing new under the sun.






To understand the Russian incursion into Ukraine and their current dismal performance, one must look at history.

Let's start with one fact.

1) Russians rarely "out-fight" an enemy.

WW2 is packed full of stories of tactically superior German soldiers really "laying into" the Russians.

A few of my favorite examples, both places I've been to in person and soaked up the vibe...

In 1944 the Russians were on the move, pushing the Germans out of Russian lands into Estonia through the city of Narva, over the Narva River. Around 10 miles across the border were a series of hills called Sinimaed, a battleground from WW1 and earlier... serving as a natural barrier to the Western half of Estonia.

The Germans took up defensive positions in the Sinimaed and waited for the Russians. The Russians rolled in with 10x the soldiers, around 250,000 troops and a few hundred tanks... into an area not much larger than a sprawling city.

The Russians attacked and counter attacked the hills, they changed hands time after time. The Russians were pouring troops in as they'd fall. They had nearly unlimited artillery and ammo to pound the hills.

Eventually the Germans gave up the hills and fled the area. The Russians had lost 600k+ soldiers, 135k killed.

The Germans lost between 5-10k men.





Fast forward to the Battle of Berlin in 1945. There's a spot near Berlin Center called Neukolln. It's just your typical spot with a Rathaus, a "City Hall"...

It's located at the crossroads leading into Berlin Center and all the targets the Russians wanted to take. Less than 100 French Volunteers (SS Charlemagne) held up 10's of thousands of Russians and hundreds of Russian tanks for half a day.

The Russians kept pushing men and tanks into the teeth of the defense and the bodies piled up. Finally the surviving troops retreated back into Berlin Center.




And finally... you saw the movie Stalingrad from 1942?

It was accurate. Trains full of conscripts from the Far East arrived into the rail terminal and were sent straight to the front lines where the leaders told them to rush towards the German front lines and pick up the weapons dropped by the soldiers who fall in front of them and continue forward to "kill the fascists"...



Bottom line?
The Russians have NEVER been an elite fighting force. Russians win because of numbers. They drown the enemy in men and ammo.

Today? The Russians have a small fighting force, poorly trained, Defense contractors, oligarchs and corrupt Generals have been siphoning money away from the military for decades...

And the Russians don't have the political will to conscript the general population to form a large force.

In summary, Ukraine is exactly the kind of battle the Russians can NOT win at THIS TIME. The Ukranians are well equipped and motivated and the Russians don't have their usual "numbers" to score victories.

At this point, the only thing the Russians can do to keep the war raging is a combination of more war crimes and destroy infrastructure or shut off the power/heat during Winter.




Some thoughts on King William... sooner than one might think.

Yeah it's a UK gossip mag but interesting.

Goes along with my thinking.

Charles deserves his time in the Sun, wear the crown that he's spent a lifetime waiting for...

But... a young King and Queen would bring a fresh burst of energy and 21st Century reality to the monarchy.

https://www.marieclaire.co.uk/news/celebrity-news/why-experts-believe-prince-charles-may-hand-crown-prince-william-709625

With regards to the possibility of Charles passing the crown straight to William, the website reads: ‘Having waited over 60 years as heir apparent, it would be perfectly natural for Prince Charles to want to assume the throne and perform the royal duties for which he has spent so long preparing in waiting.

‘But it would be equally natural if, after reigning for a few years as an increasingly elderly monarch, he chose to invite Parliament to hand on the throne to Prince William.’

And just like that... OPEC agrees to lower production to offset dropping oil prices.

Big drops in consumption and resulting dropping oil prices prompt to lower production numbers to bolster the price of oil.

Y'all didn't think OPEC would let low gas prices run into November, right??

https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/05/energy/opec-oil-gas-prices/index.html

OPEC said Monday it would reduce oil production next month, the cartel's first output cut since the depths of the pandemic, as it braces for a global economic slowdown to hit demand.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied oil producing nations, including Russia, agreed to shave 100,000 barrels per day off their production targets in October.

Weeks ago... I said ALL of this is going to end up in SCOTUS. Judge Cannon and Residual...

Residual Executive Privilege... wtf is that? Judge is batshit crazy, right?

So I googled it...

And VOILA.

Clarence Thomas... in Zivotofsky v. Kerry refers to "residual executive privilege"

In his opinion in Zivotofsky, Justice Thomas begins by saying that the
Constitution allocates the powers over foreign affairs in two ways: “First, it
expressly identifies certain foreign affairs powers and vests them in
particular branches, either individually or jointly. Second, it vests the
residual foreign affairs powers of the Federal Government—i.e., those not
specifically enumerated in the Constitution—in the President by way of
Article II’s Vesting Clause.”5 Justice Thomas does not define residual
power. Instead, he relies on an article by Saikrishna Prakash and Michael
Ramsey published in the Yale Law Journal in 2001,6 a work he cites
twelve times.



Any Trump indictment is going to have to swim upstream through Courts, defining and clarifying Presidential powers until it ends up in front of Barf, GoodHair, Handmaiden, Sleepy, Scalito and Quiet John.

DOJ Is Likely to Wait Past Midterms to Reveal Any Trump Charges

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-31/doj-is-likely-to-wait-past-election-to-reveal-any-trump-charges

Federal prosecutors are likely to wait until after the November election to announce any charges against Donald Trump, if they determine he broke laws, according to people familiar.

The unprecedented prospect of bringing charges against a former US president is creating intense scrutiny of the Justice Department in the aftermath of its search of his home at Mar-a-Lago. A separate DOJ probe is focused on his effort to overturn the 2020 election, which he lost to President Joe Biden.

Under long-standing department policy, prosecutors are barred from taking investigative steps or filing charges for the purpose of affecting an election or helping a candidate or party, traditionally 60 days before an election. This year, that would be by Sept. 10, which makes it unlikely anything would be announced until after Nov. 8, said people who asked to remain anonymous speaking about potential Justice Department actions.

One possible reason a Special Master could be appointed.

United States v. Korf





So the DoJ is investigating money laundering and the defense claims that FBI "Filter Teams" are unconstitutional on 6th Amendment grounds.

The 11th Circuit Court of Appeals rejected the appeal.


Then the defendant petitioned SCOTUS to hear the case.

The Trump SCOTUS, Barf, Handmaiden, GoodHair, Sleepy and Scalito + Gentle John are going to take a look...

It's on the docket for the next session. They MAY choose to take the case.

FBI "Filter Teams" could easily be ruled unconstitutional. There have been numerous recent Court opinions questioning the legality of "taint teams"

https://www.reuters.com/legal/government/11th-circuit-upholds-dojs-use-filter-team-rejecting-6th-amendment-challenge-2021-09-01/
https://www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/21/21-1364/221267/20220418134323040_Petition%20for%20Writ%20of%20Certiorari.pdf





I'm 99.9% sure that I know what the majority of the documents are.

It's the 2016-2017 Russia counter intel operation... "Crossfire Hurricane"

My Evidence:

1) Trump is particularly engaged with this investigation and how he feels he was "spied on and conspired against"

2) Trump claimed that he was going to de-classify all documents related to Crossfire Hurricane 2016-2017

3) John Solomon, is particularly attached at the hip to the 2016-2017 investigation. He's spoken on it and had access to secret docs for years and has written about it for The Hill and his own website.

4) The "Human Intel" is CIA operatives who interacted with Trump associates like George Papadopolous.

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