Yes, that's a good number. But you don't get to claim victory without looking at why we get that kind of number. It's because the economy went into the dump and a lot of business had to close down (some temporary, some permanent). So I don't see how this is a win for Trump.

There is still no polling for NY-11 this cycle. There were only 2 polls back in 2018.

My assumption is the house seat will go to the party that wins on the presidential level.

Have anyone heard anything about this race? Or if someone has a different view on this race?

than any one poll.......

MSNBC, do better please....

Edit: Please don't cherry pick a poll for your horse race narrative. Use averages please.

https://twitter.com/AstorAaron/status/1319649852108775426

https://twitter.com/AstorAaron/status/1319651673900486657

https://twitter.com/AstorAaron/status/1319653678408663040

It has Biden and Trump tied among black voters...

The pollster hired to do this, Zia, is a New Mexico pollster that had HRC only winning New Mexico by 2 points in 2016. (She won by 8.3 points). Why would they hire a New Mexico pollster to survey Michigan??

Did the overpoll 45 to 64 year olds intentionally 40.9% seems a lot

lurking behind Biden today???

There is no mention of foreign interference from CHINA as Trump consistently complain about.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/21/politics/cnn-polls-pennsylvania-florida/index.html

It's currently streaming ABC news right now. The town hall will start at 8pm est (in about 50 mins at the time of this post).

According to MSNBC.