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Member since: Sun Jul 7, 2019, 07:49 PM
Number of posts: 1,713

Journal Archives

Steve Schale - Florida guru

If your a political junkie and curious about Florida politics, follow Steve Schale. He is engaged on Twitter and has a blog where he breaks down Florida races like nobody else. He's a numbers guy much like Jon Ralston in Nevada. Steve was Obama's Florida point man in 08 and 12. Steve is big on Joe Biden in Florida and says Trump internals show him trailing significantly there versus Biden. Whoever you are rooting for, he's got all the Florida data and will update throughout the next 12 months....Whoever our nominee is, I hope they work Florida hard. We take Florida, game over early.

VA elections

If there is a blue wave on Tuesday in VA, the GOP will have to be panicked. I look forward to hopefully good results

2020 map

When I look at the 2020 map, it still looks challenging. I think any of our candidates will win the popular vote. That is a given. If the Democrats win back PA and MI it still leaves us short. I think Florida, Wisconsin, Arizona are at play. Ohio maybe but I still think NC and GA are longshots realistically. So- who is better positioned to compete in AZ, FL WI and maybe OH? My money is Biden due to his ability to peel of some working class, white males. I think Florida is very winnable with a diverse ticket. Just a simple observation. The map is ugly my friends. South Florida can make it an early night for our team if we GOTV. 2016 was a low turnout.

Need help

Can someone give me a brief idea of what happens next with impeachment? What has to happen to send it to Senate?

VA elections

I hope the upcoming elections in VA are desisive. It will only add more credence that Trump and GOP is in trouble.


After long thought and after talking to my friends in various states, I'm supporting Joe Biden. I'm, at heart, more of a Warren or Sanders, progressive. I supported Bernie in 2016. I love Beto and yearn for a fresh face like Bill Clinton or Barack Obama. That said, Joe Biden will defeat Trump. Period. Joe can win Florida, Arizona, Ohio- he will expand the map. The others, in my opinion, can't. Warren will not win Florida. She just won't. She dosent have to but if you want to end election night early- take Florida. I'm supportive of any nominee and will work relentlessly for any. I want to beat Trump all over the map and Joe can.

States in play

As we make the case for our perspective nominees preferences I was thinking.....First..... any of these candidates that end up as nominee will likely win the popular vote. Second...Let's be real. There are only about 8 states in play ( give or take). I hope we choose the nominees that is in the best position to win those states. I think of Florida and if we can win there it's an early election night. I'm not so influenced by policy this cycle. I would support a horse over Trump but who can compete in Florida and put maybe Arizona or Georgia in play? FYI... the more I see Andrew Gillum and talk to my contacts at HBCU's - his addition would flat out add fire to that group..

My 95 year old aunt

A little perspective. My aunt is a fiesty, life long Democrat. A FDR Democrat. Still votes. We talked last night at her house and politics came up. She loathes Trump but made good points. She said is bad as things seem in America, it pales to past problems in America. She said race relations, infrastructure, health care ( at least ability to get care) is so much better than anytime in her life. She said she saw a Great Depression, world war and terrible racial atrocities that a person of my age simply could never imagine. She told me to vote, stay engaged but live life free of angst and fear. She said things will work out and blames social media and non stop news for the constant anxiety and divide. She said myself and my son have it "made in the shade" compared to generations past ( my son is biracial). She told me to "turn the damn tv news and internet off and go enjoy life and some things you can't control ". Good talk aunty

Our nominee with choose a VP early

Unlike our last two nominees who have won the Presidency ( young and/or minority), it looks like our nominee this cycle will be white and much older. This begs for a running mate that is youthful and or a more accurate representation of our base, a person of color. Two names are glaring. Abrams AND Gillum. Both came within a few thousand votes of winning in southern, conservative states. Better yet, both ran unusually progressive campaigns in those states. To be fair, as someone from the south, even in losing, thier campaigns were extraordinary successes. I think our nominee with choose early and it won't be someone they have shared the stage with.


I don't know who our nominee is going to be but I dont really care at this point. I'll support any of the current candidates. However, Trump is a different type of candidate and 2020 is a different election. We need a fighter. A brawler. Trump needs to be called a racist. A sexual predator. A bigot. A traitor. A supporter of terrorist states- every single day until the election. We don't need some mealy mouth, "come together" nominee. We don't need endless policy papers about positions that the public can't understand nor processes. The voters are not graduate students. We need a candidate who can articulate a vicious assault on Trump, his actions and yes- those who support his actions. Presidential elections are personality contests and were facing a bully who's will run a scorched earth campaign. We need a bully who will take him on and if the media has an issue with it- take them on too. Americans loves a fighter. Bill Clinton fought. Republicans fight. It's time we stop playing by the rules of past elections and push back- hard or we will lose
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