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oldsoftie

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Member since: Thu Jan 3, 2019, 02:35 PM
Number of posts: 6,697

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USC Dornsife launches 2020 election tracking poll; Biden leads by 11 points

Source: USC

Two centers at the USC Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences have launched a daily nationwide poll to track Americans’ opinions about the presidential candidates.

USC researchers will base election forecasts on an updated version of methods used in their groundbreaking 2016 election poll, which tracked crucial inflection points in the election by following the same individuals over time. Data from the 2016 USC poll suggested late-breaking support among certain groups that contributed to Donald Trump’s surprise win in the electoral college.

“Our 2016 Daybreak poll was the USC debut of experimental polling methods pioneered by our team at Rand in 2012,” said Jill Darling, survey director of the 2020 Daybreak Poll, which is conducted by the USC Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research.

“We adjusted our model for the 2018 election and had great success predicting the congressional outcome. This election cycle we’ll be using that model, and two additional methodologies, to track voter support for presidential candidates. We are also asking voters which party’s candidate they’ll vote for in congressional races.”

Read more: https://news.usc.edu/174625/usc-dornsife-2020-election-tracking-poll-biden-lead-11-points/



This poll showed Trump winning in '16. I like the new ways they're evaluating voters.
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